AgenticInvestor

Montenegro Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Montenegro · Quarterly series · EC-ME-GFCF

Latest, Q2 2026

519,880.00 EUR

+32.3% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartMontenegro Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the app

516.7M256.7M-3.276MQ1 2011Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 2.11M EUR, with an 80% interval of -3.28M EUR to 516.70M EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 20263.68M EUR480,581.68 EUR104.81M EUR
Q4 20262.27M EUR-812,880.92 EUR205.27M EUR
Q1 2027523,808.00 EUR-389,860.54 EUR267.31M EUR
Q2 20272.11M EUR-3.28M EUR516.70M EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+7%Matches the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 5 won)
Direction
69%No clear edge over a coin flip (22 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
18 of 18Anticipated most turns (18 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
7% lowerError ratio 0.93; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
88%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 5% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 2026519,880.00 EUR
Q1 2026392,960.00 EUR
Q4 2025499,550.00 EUR
Q3 2025458.30M EUR
Q2 2025461.42M EUR
Q1 2025368.46M EUR
Q4 2024406.63M EUR
Q3 2024380.90M EUR
Q2 2024397.82M EUR
Q1 2024320.64M EUR
Q4 2023365.28M EUR
Q3 2023336.62M EUR
Q2 2023341.26M EUR
Q1 2023292.00M EUR
Q4 2022293.68M EUR
Q3 2022267.07M EUR
Q2 2022300.07M EUR
Q1 2022236.68M EUR
Q4 2021252.91M EUR
Q3 2021264.95M EUR
Q2 2021283.13M EUR
Q1 2021221.61M EUR
Q4 2020313.88M EUR
Q3 2020307.78M EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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