Mali Balance Of Trade
Mali · Quarterly series · EC-ML-BOT
Latest, Q1 2026
631.40B XOF
+50.7% from Q4 2025
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
That is the highest of the 38 readings since Q2 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | 631.40B XOF |
| Q4 2025 | 419.00B XOF |
| Q3 2025 | -344.40B XOF |
| Q2 2025 | -377.00B XOF |
| Q1 2025 | -332.30B XOF |
| Q4 2024 | 528.10B XOF |
| Q3 2024 | -465.90B XOF |
| Q2 2024 | -382.60B XOF |
| Q3 2023 | -332.70B XOF |
| Q2 2023 | -445.00B XOF |
| Q1 2023 | -295.70B XOF |
| Q4 2022 | -251.80B XOF |
| Q3 2022 | -508.70B XOF |
| Q2 2022 | -566.00B XOF |
| Q1 2022 | -165.00B XOF |
| Q4 2021 | -360.50B XOF |
| Q3 2021 | -228.60B XOF |
| Q2 2021 | -316.60B XOF |
| Q1 2021 | -265.10B XOF |
| Q4 2020 | -227.40B XOF |
| Q3 2020 | -154.20B XOF |
| Q2 2020 | -103.80B XOF |
| Q1 2020 | -266.40B XOF |
| Q4 2019 | -324.90B XOF |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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