Mali Current Account

Name: Mali Current Account
Creator: Agentic Investor

Mali · Annual series · EC-ML-CA

Latest, 2025

-260.65B XOF

+441.95B XOF from 2024

Open interactive chartMali Current Account in the app

History through 2025, the forecast path to 2028 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2028: -602.59B XOF, with an 80% interval of -1.90T XOF to 306.03B XOF.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
Period	Forecast	80% low	80% high
2026	-563.57B XOF	-1.67T XOF	190.13B XOF
2027	-581.20B XOF	-1.00T XOF	-286.82B XOF
2028	-602.59B XOF	-1.90T XOF	306.03B XOF

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 3 won)
Direction: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (11 of 15 calls right in 5 tests)
Turning points: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (6 turns in 5 tests, 0 without a turn)

Error vs baseline: 15% lowerError ratio 0.85; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won: 3 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period: 2011-12-01 to 2025-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage: 80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2025-12-01.
This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 89% of the 9 earlier readings since 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
Period	Value
2025	-260.65B XOF
2024	-702.60B XOF
2023	-976.80B XOF
2022	-626.10B XOF
2021	-641.90B XOF
2020	-218.50B XOF
2019	-755.10B XOF
2018	-459.90B XOF
2017	-704.30B XOF
2016	-602.00B XOF
2015	-412.50B XOF
2014	-334.10B XOF
2013	-185.10B XOF
2012	-139.30B XOF
2011	-309.70B XOF
2010	-589.40B XOF
2009	-309.20B XOF
2008	-476.20B XOF
2007	-278.52B XOF
2006	-230.88B XOF
2005	-230.88B XOF
2004	-216.10B XOF
2003	-157.50B XOF
2002	-103.80B XOF

Source

Data: public market data feeds.