AgenticInvestor

Malta Exports

Malta · Monthly series · EC-MT-EXP

Latest, September 2026

426,800.00 EUR

-11.3% from August 2026

Open interactive chartMalta Exports in the app

521.9M260.4M-1.007MOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 6.11M EUR, with an 80% interval of 826,392.64 EUR to 254.76M EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 2026988,168.00 EUR-623,679.69 EUR237.84M EUR
November 20262.12M EUR-1.01M EUR314.01M EUR
December 20261.03M EUR-470,194.22 EUR247.59M EUR
January 20270.00 EUR0.00 EUR177.81M EUR
February 2027469,864.00 EUR-21,418.00 EUR203.42M EUR
March 20272.42M EUR570,764.38 EUR175.90M EUR
April 2027674,520.00 EUR-179,715.42 EUR271.51M EUR
May 20272.29M EUR-273,127.07 EUR258.79M EUR
June 20273.94M EUR896,646.86 EUR196.32M EUR
July 20273.36M EUR-167,279.74 EUR271.42M EUR
August 20273.64M EUR1.15M EUR180.11M EUR
September 20276.11M EUR826,392.64 EUR254.76M EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+18%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
74%No clear edge over a coin flip (107 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
66 of 82Anticipated most turns (82 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
18% lowerError ratio 0.82; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 1% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 2026426,800.00 EUR
August 2026481,400.00 EUR
July 2026486,300.00 EUR
June 2026447,000.00 EUR
May 2026516,080.00 EUR
April 2026399,970.00 EUR
March 2026404.52M EUR
February 2026324.80M EUR
January 2026378.16M EUR
December 2025455.88M EUR
November 2025507.50M EUR
October 2025481.10M EUR
September 2025460.50M EUR
August 2025396.90M EUR
July 2025335.58M EUR
June 2025371.73M EUR
May 2025365.03M EUR
April 2025319.72M EUR
March 2025367.03M EUR
February 2025351.07M EUR
January 2025350.84M EUR
December 2024388.90M EUR
November 2024508.98M EUR
October 2024514.40M EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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