Malta Money Supply M3
Malta · Monthly series · EC-MT-M3
Latest, September 2026
31.44B EUR
+0.6% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 32.84B EUR, with an 80% interval of 31.73B EUR to 33.96B EUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 31.55B EUR | 31.36B EUR | 31.76B EUR |
| November 2026 | 31.66B EUR | 31.50B EUR | 31.84B EUR |
| December 2026 | 31.78B EUR | 31.47B EUR | 32.13B EUR |
| January 2027 | 31.90B EUR | 31.43B EUR | 32.40B EUR |
| February 2027 | 32.02B EUR | 31.47B EUR | 32.62B EUR |
| March 2027 | 32.14B EUR | 31.49B EUR | 32.81B EUR |
| April 2027 | 32.25B EUR | 31.41B EUR | 33.13B EUR |
| May 2027 | 32.36B EUR | 31.50B EUR | 33.26B EUR |
| June 2027 | 32.49B EUR | 31.60B EUR | 33.44B EUR |
| July 2027 | 32.60B EUR | 31.73B EUR | 33.50B EUR |
| August 2027 | 32.74B EUR | 31.77B EUR | 33.70B EUR |
| September 2027 | 32.84B EUR | 31.73B EUR | 33.96B EUR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +39%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
- Direction
- 92%Beats a coin flip (133 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 0 of 52Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (52 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 39% lowerError ratio 0.61; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 31.44B EUR |
| August 2026 | 31.27B EUR |
| July 2026 | 31.15B EUR |
| June 2026 | 30.97B EUR |
| May 2026 | 30.72B EUR |
| April 2026 | 30.44B EUR |
| March 2026 | 30.62B EUR |
| February 2026 | 30.47B EUR |
| January 2026 | 30.28B EUR |
| December 2025 | 30.33B EUR |
| November 2025 | 29.57B EUR |
| October 2025 | 29.55B EUR |
| September 2025 | 29.46B EUR |
| August 2025 | 29.25B EUR |
| July 2025 | 29.26B EUR |
| June 2025 | 29.21B EUR |
| May 2025 | 29.16B EUR |
| April 2025 | 28.97B EUR |
| March 2025 | 28.81B EUR |
| February 2025 | 28.55B EUR |
| January 2025 | 28.81B EUR |
| December 2024 | 28.50B EUR |
| November 2024 | 28.33B EUR |
| October 2024 | 27.80B EUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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