Mozambique Deposit Interest Rate

Mozambique · Monthly series · EC-MZ-DIR

Latest, June 2026

3.6%

-0.25pp from May 2026

Open interactive chartMozambique Deposit Interest Rate in the app

18.669.7820.9033July 2016June 2027
History through June 2026, the forecast path to June 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for June 2027: 4.0%, with an 80% interval of 0.9% to 8.2%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
July 20263.6%3.2%4.1%
August 20263.6%3.0%4.3%
September 20263.6%2.8%4.4%
October 20263.6%2.7%4.5%
November 20263.6%2.2%5.2%
December 20263.6%2.3%5.2%
January 20273.7%1.5%6.4%
February 20273.7%1.5%6.5%
March 20273.8%1.9%6.3%
April 20273.8%1.2%7.3%
May 20274.0%1.0%7.8%
June 20274.0%0.9%8.2%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+6%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
73%No clear edge over a coin flip (105 of 143 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
8 of 65Anticipated some turns (65 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
6% lowerError ratio 0.94; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-07-01 to 2026-06-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the lowest of the 120 readings since July 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
June 20263.6%
May 20263.8%
April 20264.3%
March 20264.4%
February 20263.9%
January 20264.4%
December 20254.6%
November 20255.0%
October 20254.5%
September 20255.3%
August 20255.6%
July 20255.9%
June 20255.9%
May 20255.9%
April 20256.1%
March 20256.4%
February 20256.9%
January 20257.0%
December 20246.7%
November 20247.3%
October 20247.5%
September 20247.7%
August 20247.5%
July 20248.2%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Mozambique