AgenticInvestor

New Caledonia Inflation Rate YoY

New Caledonia · Monthly series · EC-NC-IRYY

Latest, September 2026

0.9%

+0.40pp from August 2026

Open interactive chartNew Caledonia Inflation Rate YoY in the app

5.21.979-1.241October 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 1.5%, with an 80% interval of -1.2% to 4.3%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 20261.2%0.3%2.0%
November 20261.3%0.2%2.3%
December 20261.4%0.8%2.0%
January 20271.4%0.7%2.1%
February 20271.5%-0.4%3.3%
March 20271.5%-0.6%3.7%
April 20271.6%-0.5%3.7%
May 20271.5%-1.0%4.0%
June 20271.4%-1.2%4.1%
July 20271.4%-0.7%3.6%
August 20271.5%-1.0%4.1%
September 20271.5%-1.2%4.3%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-3%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
Direction
54%No clear edge over a coin flip (70 of 130 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
21 of 63Anticipated some turns (63 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
3% higherError ratio 1.03; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 46% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 20260.9%
August 20260.5%
July 20261.1%
June 20260.9%
May 20260.3%
April 2026-0.2%
March 2026-0.8%
February 2026-0.5%
January 20260.4%
December 20250.3%
November 20250.5%
October 2025-0.4%
September 20250.3%
August 20251.1%
July 20250.8%
June 20250.5%
May 20251.6%
April 20251.9%
March 20252.2%
February 20252.0%
January 20251.6%
December 20241.7%
November 20240.9%
October 20241.9%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for New Caledonia