Niger Money Supply M2
Niger · Monthly series · EC-NE-M2
Latest, September 2026
2.38T XOF
+1.3% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 2.50T XOF, with an 80% interval of 2.27T XOF to 2.72T XOF.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 2.38T XOF | 2.35T XOF | 2.42T XOF |
| November 2026 | 2.39T XOF | 2.32T XOF | 2.47T XOF |
| December 2026 | 2.41T XOF | 2.25T XOF | 2.57T XOF |
| January 2027 | 2.42T XOF | 2.27T XOF | 2.57T XOF |
| February 2027 | 2.43T XOF | 2.28T XOF | 2.57T XOF |
| March 2027 | 2.44T XOF | 2.29T XOF | 2.58T XOF |
| April 2027 | 2.45T XOF | 2.26T XOF | 2.63T XOF |
| May 2027 | 2.46T XOF | 2.19T XOF | 2.72T XOF |
| June 2027 | 2.47T XOF | 2.23T XOF | 2.71T XOF |
| July 2027 | 2.49T XOF | 2.26T XOF | 2.71T XOF |
| August 2027 | 2.49T XOF | 2.27T XOF | 2.70T XOF |
| September 2027 | 2.50T XOF | 2.27T XOF | 2.72T XOF |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +12%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
- Direction
- 76%No clear edge over a coin flip (110 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 4 of 69Anticipated some turns (69 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 12% lowerError ratio 0.88; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 98% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2.38T XOF |
| August 2026 | 2.35T XOF |
| July 2026 | 2.35T XOF |
| June 2026 | 2.39T XOF |
| May 2026 | 2.38T XOF |
| April 2026 | 2.33T XOF |
| March 2026 | 2.24T XOF |
| February 2026 | 2.19T XOF |
| January 2026 | 2.20T XOF |
| December 2025 | 2.18T XOF |
| November 2025 | 2.12T XOF |
| October 2025 | 2.05T XOF |
| September 2025 | 2.02T XOF |
| August 2025 | 2.08T XOF |
| July 2025 | 2.12T XOF |
| June 2025 | 2.13T XOF |
| May 2025 | 2.03T XOF |
| April 2025 | 2.02T XOF |
| March 2025 | 2.06T XOF |
| February 2025 | 1.98T XOF |
| January 2025 | 1.99T XOF |
| December 2024 | 1.97T XOF |
| November 2024 | 1.92T XOF |
| October 2024 | 1.91T XOF |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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