Russia Mining Production YoY
Russia · Monthly series · EC-RU-MIP
Latest, September 2026
-4.1%
-2.80pp from August 2026
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 10% of the 117 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | -4.1% |
| August 2026 | -1.3% |
| July 2026 | -2.6% |
| June 2026 | -2.6% |
| May 2026 | -2.7% |
| April 2026 | -0.4% |
| March 2026 | 1.0% |
| February 2026 | 0.9% |
| January 2026 | 0.5% |
| December 2025 | -2.8% |
| November 2025 | 0.4% |
| October 2025 | 1.3% |
| September 2025 | 0.2% |
| August 2025 | -2.5% |
| July 2025 | 0.0% |
| June 2025 | -1.2% |
| May 2025 | -1.1% |
| April 2025 | -1.0% |
| March 2025 | -4.1% |
| February 2025 | -4.9% |
| January 2025 | -2.1% |
| December 2024 | 1.3% |
| October 2024 | -2.0% |
| September 2024 | -1.8% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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