AgenticInvestor

Saudi Arabia Exports

Saudi Arabia · Monthly series · EC-SA-EXP

Latest, August 2026

87.24B SAR

+3.3% from July 2026

Open interactive chartSaudi Arabia Exports in the app

196.1B91.51B-13.11BMarch 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 88.82B SAR, with an 80% interval of 257.58M SAR to 166.89B SAR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 202687.33B SAR60.77B SAR114.09B SAR
October 202687.59B SAR66.16B SAR108.26B SAR
November 202687.79B SAR60.64B SAR113.76B SAR
December 202687.89B SAR62.48B SAR111.42B SAR
January 202787.98B SAR49.45B SAR123.74B SAR
February 202788.09B SAR63.75B SAR110.25B SAR
March 202788.24B SAR20.25B SAR150.71B SAR
April 202788.39B SAR69.33B SAR105.38B SAR
May 202788.49B SAR49.35B SAR123.71B SAR
June 202788.54B SAR7.69B SAR160.10B SAR
July 202788.66B SAR-13.11B SAR178.74B SAR
August 202788.82B SAR257.58M SAR166.89B SAR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+8%Matches the no-change baseline over 6 tests (6 tests, 5 won)
Direction
72%No clear edge over a coin flip (52 of 72 calls right in 6 tests)
Turning points
14 of 37Anticipated some turns (37 turns in 6 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
8% lowerError ratio 0.92; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 6Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2020-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
78%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 39% of the 117 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 202687.24B SAR
July 202684.46B SAR
June 202688.08B SAR
May 202696.66B SAR
April 2026101.60B SAR
March 2026116.52B SAR
February 202699.20B SAR
January 202698.46B SAR
December 202597.18B SAR
November 202599.33B SAR
October 202510.40B SAR
September 202510.10B SAR
August 202599.18B SAR
July 2025102.72B SAR
June 202592.34B SAR
May 202590.73B SAR
April 202590.98B SAR
March 202594.88B SAR
February 202594.64B SAR
January 202597.37B SAR
December 202494.30B SAR
November 202490.72B SAR
October 202492.91B SAR
September 202489.10B SAR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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