Saudi Arabia Loans To Banks
Saudi Arabia · Monthly series · EC-SA-LB
Latest, September 2026
72.96B SAR
+27.5% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 61.16B SAR, with an 80% interval of 43.52B SAR to 78.54B SAR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 59.47B SAR | 47.25B SAR | 71.46B SAR |
| November 2026 | 59.06B SAR | 46.43B SAR | 71.28B SAR |
| December 2026 | 59.15B SAR | 46.06B SAR | 72.04B SAR |
| January 2027 | 59.54B SAR | 45.90B SAR | 72.96B SAR |
| February 2027 | 59.61B SAR | 45.41B SAR | 73.20B SAR |
| March 2027 | 59.76B SAR | 45.11B SAR | 74.22B SAR |
| April 2027 | 59.99B SAR | 44.84B SAR | 74.82B SAR |
| May 2027 | 60.21B SAR | 44.58B SAR | 75.93B SAR |
| June 2027 | 60.41B SAR | 44.04B SAR | 76.45B SAR |
| July 2027 | 60.59B SAR | 43.85B SAR | 76.99B SAR |
| August 2027 | 60.86B SAR | 43.78B SAR | 77.60B SAR |
| September 2027 | 61.16B SAR | 43.52B SAR | 78.54B SAR |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceAt least 6 complete tests are required; 2 are available.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (2 tests, 1 won)
- Direction
- n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (20 of 24 calls right in 2 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (14 turns in 2 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 4% lowerError ratio 0.96; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 1 / 2Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2024-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 118 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 72.96B SAR |
| August 2026 | 57.23B SAR |
| July 2026 | 45.93B SAR |
| June 2026 | 55.84B SAR |
| May 2026 | 56.45B SAR |
| April 2026 | 34.43B SAR |
| March 2026 | 48.48B SAR |
| February 2026 | 52.91B SAR |
| January 2026 | 45.18B SAR |
| December 2025 | 55.53B SAR |
| November 2025 | 49.28B SAR |
| October 2025 | 49.61B SAR |
| September 2025 | 45.11B SAR |
| August 2025 | 61.67B SAR |
| July 2025 | 54.63B SAR |
| June 2025 | 49.41B SAR |
| May 2025 | 48.55B SAR |
| April 2025 | 46.79B SAR |
| March 2025 | 48.45B SAR |
| February 2025 | 42.75B SAR |
| January 2025 | 40.51B SAR |
| December 2024 | 39.96B SAR |
| November 2024 | 56.05B SAR |
| October 2024 | 41.32B SAR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
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Also stored for Saudi Arabia
- Saudi Arabia Balance Of Trade
- Saudi Arabia Banks Balance Sheet
- Saudi Arabia Business Confidence Index
- Saudi Arabia CO2 Emissions
- Saudi Arabia CPI Housing Utilities
- Saudi Arabia CPI Transportation
- Saudi Arabia Capital Flows
- Saudi Arabia Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Saudi Arabia Changes In Inventories
- Saudi Arabia Consumer Confidence Index
- Saudi Arabia Consumer Price Index
- Saudi Arabia Consumer Spending