AgenticInvestor

Saudi Arabia Oil Exports

Saudi Arabia · Monthly series · EC-SA-OE

Latest, August 2026

61.08B SAR

+2.0% from July 2026

Open interactive chartSaudi Arabia Oil Exports in the app

149.9B87.13B24.39BMarch 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 64.46B SAR, with an 80% interval of 32.74B SAR to 96.78B SAR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 202661.23B SAR52.31B SAR71.04B SAR
October 202661.82B SAR53.77B SAR70.15B SAR
November 202662.38B SAR48.52B SAR76.87B SAR
December 202662.62B SAR48.67B SAR76.71B SAR
January 202762.96B SAR46.86B SAR79.25B SAR
February 202763.19B SAR54.66B SAR71.67B SAR
March 202763.51B SAR43.32B SAR84.17B SAR
April 202763.60B SAR57.20B SAR69.88B SAR
May 202763.78B SAR49.23B SAR77.84B SAR
June 202763.94B SAR40.75B SAR87.12B SAR
July 202764.24B SAR29.20B SAR99.53B SAR
August 202764.46B SAR32.74B SAR96.78B SAR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+11%Beats the no-change baseline over 6 tests (6 tests, 2 won)
Direction
60%No clear edge over a coin flip (43 of 72 calls right in 6 tests)
Turning points
8 of 35Anticipated some turns (35 turns in 6 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
11% lowerError ratio 0.89; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
2 / 6Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2020-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 30% of the 117 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 202661.08B SAR
July 202659.89B SAR
June 202663.18B SAR
May 202670.89B SAR
April 202669.35B SAR
March 202693.24B SAR
February 202668.05B SAR
January 202666.15B SAR
December 202565.49B SAR
November 202567.04B SAR
October 202570.11B SAR
September 202569.33B SAR
August 202569.82B SAR
July 202568.67B SAR
June 202564.68B SAR
May 202559.33B SAR
April 202561.96B SAR
March 202566.74B SAR
February 202567.62B SAR
January 202570.70B SAR
December 202464.85B SAR
November 202463.62B SAR
October 202467.41B SAR
September 202462.61B SAR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Saudi Arabia