Seychelles Money Supply M3
Seychelles · Monthly series · EC-SC-M3
Latest, September 2026
30.44B SCR
+0.5% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 31.58B SCR, with an 80% interval of 29.18B SCR to 33.74B SCR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 30.60B SCR | 30.08B SCR | 31.13B SCR |
| November 2026 | 30.70B SCR | 29.72B SCR | 31.68B SCR |
| December 2026 | 30.79B SCR | 30.26B SCR | 31.31B SCR |
| January 2027 | 30.88B SCR | 29.97B SCR | 31.73B SCR |
| February 2027 | 30.97B SCR | 30.11B SCR | 31.78B SCR |
| March 2027 | 31.06B SCR | 29.19B SCR | 32.82B SCR |
| April 2027 | 31.13B SCR | 29.07B SCR | 33.03B SCR |
| May 2027 | 31.22B SCR | 29.66B SCR | 32.63B SCR |
| June 2027 | 31.32B SCR | 29.60B SCR | 32.87B SCR |
| July 2027 | 31.40B SCR | 29.77B SCR | 32.88B SCR |
| August 2027 | 31.50B SCR | 29.25B SCR | 33.47B SCR |
| September 2027 | 31.58B SCR | 29.18B SCR | 33.74B SCR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +38%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
- Direction
- 97%Beats a coin flip (140 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 0 of 45Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (45 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 38% lowerError ratio 0.62; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 99% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 30.44B SCR |
| August 2026 | 30.28B SCR |
| July 2026 | 29.93B SCR |
| June 2026 | 29.90B SCR |
| May 2026 | 30.54B SCR |
| April 2026 | 30.37B SCR |
| March 2026 | 30.19B SCR |
| February 2026 | 30.31B SCR |
| January 2026 | 29.93B SCR |
| December 2025 | 29.77B SCR |
| November 2025 | 29.53B SCR |
| October 2025 | 29.39B SCR |
| September 2025 | 28.50B SCR |
| August 2025 | 28.51B SCR |
| July 2025 | 28.39B SCR |
| June 2025 | 28.29B SCR |
| May 2025 | 28.04B SCR |
| April 2025 | 28.22B SCR |
| March 2025 | 27.58B SCR |
| February 2025 | 26.96B SCR |
| January 2025 | 26.81B SCR |
| December 2024 | 26.84B SCR |
| November 2024 | 27.03B SCR |
| October 2024 | 26.68B SCR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
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Also stored for Seychelles
- Seychelles Balance Of Trade
- Seychelles Banks Balance Sheet
- Seychelles CPI Housing Utilities
- Seychelles CPI Transportation
- Seychelles Capital Flows
- Seychelles Cash Reserve Ratio
- Seychelles Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Seychelles Central Bank Lending Rate
- Seychelles Consumer Credit
- Seychelles Consumer Price Index
- Seychelles Consumer Spending
- Seychelles Core Consumer Prices