Slovenia Central Bank Balance Sheet
Slovenia · Monthly series · EC-SI-CBBS
Latest, September 2026
32.80B EUR
-1.2% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 31.95B EUR, with an 80% interval of 26.00B EUR to 37.83B EUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 32.72B EUR | 31.79B EUR | 33.69B EUR |
| November 2026 | 32.60B EUR | 31.30B EUR | 33.99B EUR |
| December 2026 | 32.50B EUR | 31.16B EUR | 33.90B EUR |
| January 2027 | 32.44B EUR | 31.22B EUR | 33.76B EUR |
| February 2027 | 32.36B EUR | 31.05B EUR | 33.76B EUR |
| March 2027 | 32.28B EUR | 29.67B EUR | 34.98B EUR |
| April 2027 | 32.19B EUR | 29.74B EUR | 34.68B EUR |
| May 2027 | 32.13B EUR | 29.09B EUR | 35.28B EUR |
| June 2027 | 32.08B EUR | 28.11B EUR | 36.06B EUR |
| July 2027 | 32.03B EUR | 27.44B EUR | 36.69B EUR |
| August 2027 | 31.98B EUR | 27.04B EUR | 37.03B EUR |
| September 2027 | 31.95B EUR | 26.00B EUR | 37.83B EUR |
AI confidence
Weak evidenceThe serving forecast made larger errors than the no-change baseline in these tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- -19%Trails the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
- Direction
- 57%No clear edge over a coin flip (82 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 6 of 60Anticipated some turns (60 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 19% higherError ratio 1.19; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 56% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 32.80B EUR |
| August 2026 | 33.20B EUR |
| July 2026 | 33.06B EUR |
| June 2026 | 33.39B EUR |
| May 2026 | 33.77B EUR |
| April 2026 | 33.73B EUR |
| March 2026 | 33.17B EUR |
| February 2026 | 35.62B EUR |
| January 2026 | 35.80B EUR |
| December 2025 | 33.82B EUR |
| November 2025 | 35.46B EUR |
| October 2025 | 35.20B EUR |
| September 2025 | 34.98B EUR |
| August 2025 | 34.34B EUR |
| July 2025 | 34.79B EUR |
| June 2025 | 35.56B EUR |
| May 2025 | 36.10B EUR |
| April 2025 | 34.81B EUR |
| March 2025 | 34.75B EUR |
| February 2025 | 35.87B EUR |
| January 2025 | 36.01B EUR |
| December 2024 | 34.31B EUR |
| November 2024 | 34.46B EUR |
| October 2024 | 34.99B EUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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