AgenticInvestor

Slovenia Capital Flows

Slovenia · Monthly series · EC-SI-CF

Latest, August 2026

-48.30M EUR

-62.00M EUR from July 2026

Open interactive chartSlovenia Capital Flows in the app

1.698B164.9M-1.368BSeptember 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 64.76M EUR, with an 80% interval of -358.27M EUR to 451.30M EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 2026187.22M EUR22.39M EUR350.90M EUR
October 2026274.34M EUR-40.20M EUR562.47M EUR
November 2026137.75M EUR-113.88M EUR369.71M EUR
December 2026-366.03M EUR-756.13M EUR33.50M EUR
January 2027200.76M EUR-70.07M EUR454.77M EUR
February 202786.45M EUR-275.16M EUR426.57M EUR
March 2027-165.54M EUR-702.23M EUR280.75M EUR
April 2027186.25M EUR-142.95M EUR483.44M EUR
May 2027139.95M EUR-169.34M EUR425.09M EUR
June 202714.59M EUR-500.91M EUR473.27M EUR
July 202775.12M EUR-269.80M EUR389.85M EUR
August 202764.76M EUR-358.27M EUR451.30M EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+34%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
80%Beats a coin flip (115 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
81 of 92Anticipated most turns (92 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
34% lowerError ratio 0.66; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 29% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 2026-48.30M EUR
July 202613.70M EUR
June 2026265.60M EUR
May 2026-92.20M EUR
April 2026348.80M EUR
March 2026-365.20M EUR
February 2026-76.30M EUR
January 20263.40M EUR
December 2025-438.10M EUR
November 2025155.00M EUR
October 2025408.50M EUR
September 2025281.80M EUR
August 2025-81.60M EUR
July 2025-31.80M EUR
June 2025-199.80M EUR
May 2025432.10M EUR
April 2025374.60M EUR
March 2025-237.30M EUR
February 202559.40M EUR
January 202585.60M EUR
December 2024-103.20M EUR
November 2024168.50M EUR
October 2024467.50M EUR
September 2024155.10M EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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