AgenticInvestor

South Sudan CPI Transportation

South Sudan · Monthly series · EC-SS-CPIT

Latest, October 2024

2,806,578.8 pts

+0.0% from September 2024

Open interactive chartSouth Sudan CPI Transportation in the app

5.296M2.19M-916.5KNovember 2014October 2025
History through October 2024, the forecast path to October 2025 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2025: 2,894,538.5 pts, with an 80% interval of -894,198.9 pts to 5,296,324.4 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20242,769,020.5 pts2,184,536.4 pts3,691,203.8 pts
December 20242,796,822.8 pts2,048,237.6 pts3,639,612.6 pts
January 20252,816,728.5 pts2,004,670.6 pts3,595,986.9 pts
February 20252,827,061.2 pts1,426,612.9 pts3,762,763.5 pts
March 20252,842,274.5 pts1,419,377.4 pts3,655,376.1 pts
April 20252,861,806.8 pts682,688.5 pts4,020,167.1 pts
May 20252,872,773.0 pts-271,203.3 pts4,549,920.7 pts
June 20252,862,507.5 pts-628,795.7 pts4,819,297.4 pts
July 20252,874,444.5 pts-894,416.4 pts4,863,173.9 pts
August 20252,898,852.5 pts-916,467.9 pts4,971,768.2 pts
September 20252,895,251.5 pts-810,811.8 pts5,130,359.6 pts
October 20252,894,538.5 pts-894,198.9 pts5,296,324.4 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Weak evidence

The serving forecast made larger errors than the no-change baseline in these tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-69%Trails the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
67%No clear edge over a coin flip (96 of 143 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
16 of 68Anticipated some turns (68 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
69% higherError ratio 1.69; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2012-11-01 to 2024-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2014.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20242,806,578.8 pts
September 20242,806,578.8 pts
August 20242,806,578.8 pts
July 20242,806,578.8 pts
June 20242,810,349.2 pts
May 20242,804,079.3 pts
April 20242,161,475.1 pts
March 20241,426,312.9 pts
February 20241,158,936.4 pts
January 20241,097,205.1 pts
December 2023910,387.4 pts
November 20231,048,008.2 pts
October 20231,026,732.7 pts
September 20231,127,173.9 pts
August 202321,090.6 pts
July 202320,233.6 pts
June 202324,330.7 pts
May 202321,081.9 pts
April 202328,396.4 pts
March 202318,594.7 pts
February 202318,142.9 pts
January 202317,163.3 pts
December 202224,956.5 pts
November 202220,192.9 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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