Thailand Corruption Index

Thailand · Annual series · EC-TH-CORPI

Latest, 2025

33.0 pts

-2.9% from 2024

Open interactive chartThailand Corruption Index in the app

3832.9527.919952028
History through 2025, the forecast path to 2028 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2028: 33.7 pts, with an 80% interval of 30.5 pts to 36.9 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
202633.8 pts31.3 pts36.4 pts
202733.7 pts30.9 pts36.7 pts
202833.7 pts30.5 pts36.9 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 3 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aToo few tests (3 tests, 6 needed) (3 tests, 1 won)
Direction
n/aToo few tests (3 tests, 6 needed) (4 of 7 calls right in 3 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (3 tests, 6 needed) (2 turns in 3 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
15% lowerError ratio 0.85; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
1 / 3Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2017-12-01 to 2025-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
89%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the lowest of the 10 readings since 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
202533.0 pts
202434.0 pts
202335.0 pts
202236.0 pts
202135.0 pts
202036.0 pts
201936.0 pts
201836.0 pts
201737.0 pts
201635.0 pts
201538.0 pts
201438.0 pts
201335.0 pts
201237.0 pts
201134.0 pts
201035.0 pts
200934.0 pts
200835.0 pts
200733.0 pts
200636.0 pts
200538.0 pts
200436.0 pts
200333.0 pts
200232.0 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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