Thailand Disposable Personal Income
Thailand · Annual series · EC-TH-DPI
Latest, 2021
9.56T THB
+2.5% from 2020
Forecast
Forecast for 2024: 10.19T THB, with an 80% interval of 8.89T THB to 11.43T THB.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9.78T THB | 9.38T THB | 10.25T THB |
| 2023 | 9.98T THB | 9.10T THB | 10.89T THB |
| 2024 | 10.19T THB | 8.89T THB | 11.43T THB |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceAt least 6 complete tests are required; 4 are available.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (4 tests, 4 won)
- Direction
- n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (12 of 12 calls right in 4 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (2 turns in 4 tests, 3 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 33% lowerError ratio 0.67; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 4 / 4Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2010-12-01 to 2021-12-013 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2021-12-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 10 readings since 2012.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2021 | 9.56T THB |
| 2020 | 9.33T THB |
| 2019 | 9.40T THB |
| 2018 | 8.97T THB |
| 2017 | 8.54T THB |
| 2016 | 8.12T THB |
| 2015 | 7.75T THB |
| 2014 | 7.65T THB |
| 2013 | 7.22T THB |
| 2012 | 7.06T THB |
| 2011 | 6.52T THB |
| 2010 | 6.14T THB |
| 2009 | 5.63T THB |
| 2008 | 5.63T THB |
| 2007 | 5.26T THB |
| 2006 | 4.82T THB |
| 2005 | 4.44T THB |
| 2004 | 4.19T THB |
| 2003 | 3.78T THB |
| 2002 | 3.41T THB |
| 2001 | 3.16T THB |
| 2000 | 3.07T THB |
| 1999 | 3.02T THB |
| 1998 | 2.85T THB |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Thailand Disposable Personal Income in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for Thailand
- Thailand Balance Of Trade
- Thailand Bank Lending Rate
- Thailand Banks Balance Sheet
- Thailand Business Confidence Index
- Thailand CO2 Emissions
- Thailand CPI Housing Utilities
- Thailand CPI Transportation
- Thailand Capacity Utilization
- Thailand Car Production
- Thailand Car Registrations
- Thailand Cement Production
- Thailand Central Bank Balance Sheet