Thailand Money Supply M0
Thailand · Monthly series · EC-TH-M0
Latest, May 2025
2.28T THB
-1.0% from April 2025
Forecast
Forecast for May 2026: 2.40T THB, with an 80% interval of 2.32T THB to 2.49T THB.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 2.28T THB | 2.25T THB | 2.31T THB |
| July 2025 | 2.27T THB | 2.26T THB | 2.29T THB |
| August 2025 | 2.28T THB | 2.25T THB | 2.32T THB |
| September 2025 | 2.31T THB | 2.26T THB | 2.36T THB |
| October 2025 | 2.32T THB | 2.26T THB | 2.39T THB |
| November 2025 | 2.35T THB | 2.28T THB | 2.42T THB |
| December 2025 | 2.42T THB | 2.34T THB | 2.50T THB |
| January 2026 | 2.41T THB | 2.36T THB | 2.46T THB |
| February 2026 | 2.43T THB | 2.37T THB | 2.50T THB |
| March 2026 | 2.43T THB | 2.31T THB | 2.55T THB |
| April 2026 | 2.43T THB | 2.35T THB | 2.51T THB |
| May 2026 | 2.40T THB | 2.32T THB | 2.49T THB |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +58%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
- Direction
- 83%Beats a coin flip (119 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 48 of 64Anticipated most turns (64 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 58% lowerError ratio 0.42; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2013-06-01 to 2025-05-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2025-05-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 96% of the 119 earlier readings since June 2015.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| May 2025 | 2.28T THB |
| April 2025 | 2.31T THB |
| March 2025 | 2.32T THB |
| February 2025 | 2.32T THB |
| January 2025 | 2.33T THB |
| December 2024 | 2.30T THB |
| November 2024 | 2.27T THB |
| October 2024 | 2.23T THB |
| September 2024 | 2.19T THB |
| August 2024 | 2.15T THB |
| July 2024 | 2.14T THB |
| June 2024 | 2.15T THB |
| May 2024 | 2.16T THB |
| April 2024 | 2.17T THB |
| March 2024 | 2.20T THB |
| February 2024 | 2.17T THB |
| January 2024 | 2.14T THB |
| December 2023 | 2.15T THB |
| November 2023 | 2.09T THB |
| October 2023 | 2.06T THB |
| September 2023 | 2.05T THB |
| August 2023 | 2.02T THB |
| July 2023 | 2.01T THB |
| June 2023 | 2.02T THB |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Thailand Money Supply M0 in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for Thailand
- Thailand Balance Of Trade
- Thailand Bank Lending Rate
- Thailand Banks Balance Sheet
- Thailand Business Confidence Index
- Thailand CO2 Emissions
- Thailand CPI Housing Utilities
- Thailand CPI Transportation
- Thailand Capacity Utilization
- Thailand Car Production
- Thailand Car Registrations
- Thailand Cement Production
- Thailand Central Bank Balance Sheet