AgenticInvestor

Uganda Loans To Private Sector

Uganda · Monthly series · EC-UG-LPS

Latest, May 2026

30.13T UGX

+2.0% from April 2026

Open interactive chartUganda Loans To Private Sector in the app

34.96T23.45T11.94TJune 2016May 2027
History through May 2026, the forecast path to May 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for May 2027: 32.76T UGX, with an 80% interval of 30.87T UGX to 34.96T UGX.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
June 202630.41T UGX29.61T UGX31.30T UGX
July 202630.60T UGX29.55T UGX31.80T UGX
August 202630.85T UGX29.66T UGX32.18T UGX
September 202631.06T UGX29.97T UGX32.25T UGX
October 202631.31T UGX29.88T UGX32.98T UGX
November 202631.53T UGX29.77T UGX33.51T UGX
December 202631.72T UGX29.61T UGX34.09T UGX
January 202731.92T UGX30.55T UGX33.48T UGX
February 202732.14T UGX30.92T UGX33.55T UGX
March 202732.36T UGX30.68T UGX34.29T UGX
April 202732.56T UGX30.81T UGX34.55T UGX
May 202732.76T UGX30.87T UGX34.96T UGX

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+58%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
Direction
97%Beats a coin flip (140 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
0 of 42Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (42 turns in 12 tests, 2 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
58% lowerError ratio 0.42; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-06-01 to 2026-05-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since June 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
May 202630.13T UGX
April 202629.54T UGX
March 202629.47T UGX
February 202628.58T UGX
January 202628.57T UGX
December 202528.59T UGX
November 202528.02T UGX
October 202527.30T UGX
September 202527.25T UGX
August 202526.91T UGX
July 202526.62T UGX
June 202526.76T UGX
May 202526.31T UGX
April 202526.31T UGX
March 202526.08T UGX
February 202525.79T UGX
January 202525.54T UGX
December 202425.49T UGX
November 202425.34T UGX
October 202424.78T UGX
September 202424.71T UGX
August 202424.56T UGX
July 202424.52T UGX
June 202424.26T UGX

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Uganda