Venezuela Money Supply M0
Venezuela · Monthly series · EC-VE-M0
Latest, September 2026
1.84B VES
+4.9% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 3.07B VES, with an 80% interval of -5.91B VES to 11.70B VES.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 1.92B VES | 1.39B VES | 2.62B VES |
| November 2026 | 2.06B VES | 1.33B VES | 2.85B VES |
| December 2026 | 2.22B VES | 1.13B VES | 3.39B VES |
| January 2027 | 2.31B VES | 838.23M VES | 3.77B VES |
| February 2027 | 2.46B VES | 697.90M VES | 4.05B VES |
| March 2027 | 2.57B VES | 169.41M VES | 4.56B VES |
| April 2027 | 2.72B VES | -1.64B VES | 6.06B VES |
| May 2027 | 2.76B VES | -2.86B VES | 6.99B VES |
| June 2027 | 2.84B VES | -5.26B VES | 9.05B VES |
| July 2027 | 2.99B VES | -5.97B VES | 10.21B VES |
| August 2027 | 3.00B VES | -5.42B VES | 10.72B VES |
| September 2027 | 3.07B VES | -5.91B VES | 11.70B VES |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +28%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
- Direction
- 76%No clear edge over a coin flip (73 of 96 calls right in 8 tests)
- Turning points
- 4 of 23Anticipated some turns (23 turns in 12 tests, 4 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 28% lowerError ratio 0.72; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 1.84B VES |
| August 2026 | 1.76B VES |
| July 2026 | 1.46B VES |
| June 2026 | 1.41B VES |
| May 2026 | 1.45B VES |
| April 2026 | 1.26B VES |
| March 2026 | 1.05B VES |
| February 2026 | 938.55M VES |
| January 2026 | 839.64M VES |
| December 2025 | 689.82M VES |
| November 2025 | 524.10M VES |
| October 2025 | 405.59M VES |
| September 2025 | 366.33M VES |
| August 2025 | 306.13M VES |
| July 2025 | 269.00M VES |
| June 2025 | 226.83M VES |
| May 2025 | 187.85M VES |
| April 2025 | 168.10M VES |
| March 2025 | 138.44M VES |
| February 2025 | 125.07M VES |
| January 2025 | 117.26M VES |
| December 2024 | 101.43M VES |
| November 2024 | 84.37M VES |
| October 2024 | 72.83M VES |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
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Also stored for Venezuela
- Venezuela Balance Of Trade
- Venezuela Banks Balance Sheet
- Venezuela CPI Transportation
- Venezuela Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Venezuela Consumer Confidence Index
- Venezuela Consumer Price Index
- Venezuela Core Consumer Prices
- Venezuela Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Venezuela Corporate Tax Rate
- Venezuela Corruption Index
- Venezuela Corruption Rank
- Venezuela Crude Oil Production