AgenticInvestor

Vietnam GDP From Public Administration

Vietnam · Quarterly series · EC-VN-GDPPA

Latest, Q3 2026

37,645,000,000,000 VND

-14.9% from Q2 2026

Open interactive chartVietnam GDP From Public Administration in the app

116.9T52.57T-11.78TQ1 2013Q3 2027
History through Q3 2026, the forecast path to Q3 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q3 2027: 38,505,433,513,915 VND, with an 80% interval of -11,784,481,319,843 VND to 88,795,348,347,672 VND.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q4 202628,871,218,742,122 VND-10,655,532,479,847 VND68,397,969,964,091 VND
Q1 202743,716,793,479,296 VND34,478,621,770,668 VND52,954,965,187,924 VND
Q2 202747,057,911,017,686 VND23,697,634,783,629 VND70,418,187,251,742 VND
Q3 202738,505,433,513,915 VND-11,784,481,319,843 VND88,795,348,347,672 VND

Model: Exponential smoothing (statistical). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Exponential smoothing (statistical)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Previous comparisonThe stored comparison uses earlier data or a previous model roster. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Models tested

Exponential smoothing scored lowest on the 2 older tests (0.02) and was chosen. The 5 recent tests played no part in the choice and give its grade (0.36). The search for a model that beats the naive forecast on both sets of tests goes on. Scores are MASE: a model's errors divided by the naive forecast's, so 1 is a tie.

4 model classes completed the tests: Statistical, Foundation model, Neural network, Machine learning. Previous model roster.

Every model tested on this series.
ModelClass and computeOlder testsRecent testsRole
Exponential smoothing (statistical)Statistical · CPU0.020.36Serving
Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)Foundation model · CPU0.040.40Tested
Hierarchical neural network (neural network)Neural network · CPU0.040.56Tested
State-space model, 167M (foundation model)Foundation model · CPU0.160.48Tested
Gradient-boosted trees (machine learning)Machine learning · CPU0.290.59Tested
Naive forecast (last value held)Benchmark · CPU1.001.00Benchmark

Uses ci-proto, released by Continuous Intelligence. Continuous Intelligence does not endorse or approve this product or service. (ci-proto is shown as State-space model, 167M.)

Reading

It is above 36% of the 39 earlier readings since Q4 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q3 202637,645,000,000,000 VND
Q2 202644,228,000,000,000 VND
Q1 202639,232,000,000,000 VND
Q4 202525,618,000,000,000 VND
Q3 202526,051,000,000,000 VND
Q2 202530,950,000,000,000 VND
Q1 202526,534,000,000,000 VND
Q4 202442,357,000,000,000 VND
Q3 202429,547,000,000,000 VND
Q2 202430,155,000,000,000 VND
Q1 202423,120,000,000,000 VND
Q4 2023116,930,000,000,000 VND
Q3 202378,116,000,000,000 VND
Q2 202350,120,000,000,000 VND
Q1 202321,787,000,000,000 VND
Q4 2022111,068,000,000,000 VND
Q3 202273,938,000,000,000 VND
Q2 202248,542,000,000,000 VND
Q1 202221,067,000,000,000 VND
Q4 2021107,958,000,000,000 VND
Q3 202172,693,000,000,000 VND
Q2 202147,238,000,000,000 VND
Q1 202120,470,000,000,000 VND
Q4 2020104,277,000,000,000 VND

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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