AgenticInvestor

Hydrous Ethanol Futures

Energy · Monthly series · CM-ETH1.BMFBOVESPA

Latest, October 2026

3,110.00 BRL/MTQ

+15.1% from September 2026

Open interactive chartHydrous Ethanol Futures in the app

404326841325November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 3,024.80 BRL/MTQ, with an 80% interval of 2,301.86 BRL/MTQ to 3,827.69 BRL/MTQ.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20263,148.93 BRL/MTQ2,705.14 BRL/MTQ3,572.89 BRL/MTQ
December 20263,146.97 BRL/MTQ2,720.10 BRL/MTQ3,577.01 BRL/MTQ
January 20273,139.05 BRL/MTQ2,248.62 BRL/MTQ4,042.74 BRL/MTQ
February 20273,095.02 BRL/MTQ2,442.44 BRL/MTQ3,784.37 BRL/MTQ
March 20272,981.04 BRL/MTQ2,542.85 BRL/MTQ3,451.44 BRL/MTQ
April 20272,886.84 BRL/MTQ2,510.52 BRL/MTQ3,302.63 BRL/MTQ
May 20272,836.25 BRL/MTQ2,329.99 BRL/MTQ3,396.18 BRL/MTQ
June 20272,818.41 BRL/MTQ2,416.71 BRL/MTQ3,269.12 BRL/MTQ
July 20272,846.40 BRL/MTQ2,370.13 BRL/MTQ3,386.90 BRL/MTQ
August 20272,894.90 BRL/MTQ2,235.66 BRL/MTQ3,651.11 BRL/MTQ
September 20272,952.99 BRL/MTQ2,303.25 BRL/MTQ3,696.75 BRL/MTQ
October 20273,024.80 BRL/MTQ2,301.86 BRL/MTQ3,827.69 BRL/MTQ

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+7%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
57%No clear edge over a coin flip (81 of 143 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
17 of 58Anticipated some turns (58 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
7% lowerError ratio 0.93; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 92% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20263,110.00 BRL/MTQ
September 20262,703.00 BRL/MTQ
August 20262,513.50 BRL/MTQ
July 20262,164.00 BRL/MTQ
June 20262,385.00 BRL/MTQ
May 20262,330.00 BRL/MTQ
April 20262,360.00 BRL/MTQ
March 20262,880.00 BRL/MTQ
February 20262,904.50 BRL/MTQ
January 20263,198.00 BRL/MTQ
December 20253,107.00 BRL/MTQ
November 20253,055.00 BRL/MTQ
October 20252,925.00 BRL/MTQ
September 20252,838.50 BRL/MTQ
August 20252,885.50 BRL/MTQ
July 20252,764.00 BRL/MTQ
June 20252,730.00 BRL/MTQ
May 20252,634.50 BRL/MTQ
April 20252,659.00 BRL/MTQ
March 20252,841.00 BRL/MTQ
February 20252,954.50 BRL/MTQ
January 20252,977.50 BRL/MTQ
December 20242,774.00 BRL/MTQ
November 20242,740.00 BRL/MTQ

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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