Oat Futures

Agriculture · Monthly series · CM-ZO1.CBOT

Latest, October 2026

343.75 USX/BUA

-17.9% from September 2026

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729.8466202.3November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 340.74 USX/BUA, with an 80% interval of 251.16 USX/BUA to 485.20 USX/BUA.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026343.60 USX/BUA312.61 USX/BUA383.81 USX/BUA
December 2026343.69 USX/BUA294.71 USX/BUA409.27 USX/BUA
January 2027344.25 USX/BUA309.46 USX/BUA391.12 USX/BUA
February 2027344.12 USX/BUA272.19 USX/BUA443.51 USX/BUA
March 2027343.65 USX/BUA248.77 USX/BUA479.45 USX/BUA
April 2027343.13 USX/BUA270.19 USX/BUA449.27 USX/BUA
May 2027342.74 USX/BUA240.27 USX/BUA495.63 USX/BUA
June 2027342.69 USX/BUA234.64 USX/BUA506.16 USX/BUA
July 2027341.65 USX/BUA232.75 USX/BUA510.18 USX/BUA
August 2027341.40 USX/BUA218.49 USX/BUA533.99 USX/BUA
September 2027341.37 USX/BUA202.35 USX/BUA562.37 USX/BUA
October 2027340.74 USX/BUA251.16 USX/BUA485.20 USX/BUA

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+4%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
54%No clear edge over a coin flip (76 of 141 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
14 of 64Anticipated some turns (64 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
4% lowerError ratio 0.96; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 55% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026343.75 USX/BUA
September 2026418.75 USX/BUA
August 2026373.00 USX/BUA
July 2026330.25 USX/BUA
June 2026333.50 USX/BUA
May 2026358.75 USX/BUA
April 2026349.25 USX/BUA
March 2026354.25 USX/BUA
February 2026319.75 USX/BUA
January 2026306.75 USX/BUA
December 2025302.50 USX/BUA
November 2025317.50 USX/BUA
October 2025289.75 USX/BUA
September 2025307.50 USX/BUA
August 2025336.50 USX/BUA
July 2025351.00 USX/BUA
June 2025370.75 USX/BUA
May 2025378.75 USX/BUA
April 2025356.25 USX/BUA
March 2025346.25 USX/BUA
February 2025369.00 USX/BUA
January 2025347.50 USX/BUA
December 2024330.50 USX/BUA
November 2024358.00 USX/BUA

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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