Switzerland Banks Balance Sheet
Switzerland · Monthly series · EC-CH-BBS
Latest, August 2026
2.42T CHF
+0.2% from July 2026
Forecast
Forecast for August 2027: 2.46T CHF, with an 80% interval of 2.34T CHF to 2.58T CHF.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2.42T CHF | 2.40T CHF | 2.44T CHF |
| October 2026 | 2.43T CHF | 2.40T CHF | 2.46T CHF |
| November 2026 | 2.44T CHF | 2.41T CHF | 2.47T CHF |
| December 2026 | 2.41T CHF | 2.32T CHF | 2.49T CHF |
| January 2027 | 2.44T CHF | 2.38T CHF | 2.50T CHF |
| February 2027 | 2.44T CHF | 2.38T CHF | 2.51T CHF |
| March 2027 | 2.43T CHF | 2.35T CHF | 2.51T CHF |
| April 2027 | 2.45T CHF | 2.35T CHF | 2.56T CHF |
| May 2027 | 2.46T CHF | 2.36T CHF | 2.56T CHF |
| June 2027 | 2.44T CHF | 2.34T CHF | 2.53T CHF |
| July 2027 | 2.46T CHF | 2.36T CHF | 2.55T CHF |
| August 2027 | 2.46T CHF | 2.34T CHF | 2.58T CHF |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +9%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
- Direction
- 74%No clear edge over a coin flip (107 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 24 of 76Anticipated some turns (76 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 9% lowerError ratio 0.91; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-08-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 99% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 2.42T CHF |
| July 2026 | 2.42T CHF |
| June 2026 | 2.41T CHF |
| May 2026 | 2.43T CHF |
| April 2026 | 2.41T CHF |
| March 2026 | 2.40T CHF |
| February 2026 | 2.40T CHF |
| January 2026 | 2.41T CHF |
| December 2025 | 2.34T CHF |
| November 2025 | 2.39T CHF |
| October 2025 | 2.38T CHF |
| September 2025 | 2.36T CHF |
| August 2025 | 2.38T CHF |
| July 2025 | 2.36T CHF |
| June 2025 | 2.33T CHF |
| May 2025 | 2.35T CHF |
| April 2025 | 2.36T CHF |
| March 2025 | 2.31T CHF |
| February 2025 | 2.34T CHF |
| January 2025 | 2.33T CHF |
| December 2024 | 2.30T CHF |
| November 2024 | 2.35T CHF |
| October 2024 | 2.34T CHF |
| September 2024 | 2.32T CHF |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Switzerland
- Switzerland Asylum Applications
- Switzerland Balance Of Trade
- Switzerland Bankruptcies
- Switzerland Business Confidence Index
- Switzerland CO2 Emissions
- Switzerland CPI Housing Utilities
- Switzerland CPI Transportation
- Switzerland Capacity Utilization
- Switzerland Capital Flows
- Switzerland Car Registrations
- Switzerland Central Bank Balance Sheet
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