Switzerland Central Bank Balance Sheet

Switzerland · Monthly series · EC-CH-CBBS

Latest, September 2026

945.83B CHF

-0.5% from August 2026

Open interactive chartSwitzerland Central Bank Balance Sheet in the app

1.113T915.1B717.4BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 970.21B CHF, with an 80% interval of 815.26B CHF to 1.11T CHF.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 2026944.38B CHF920.21B CHF967.11B CHF
November 2026944.91B CHF922.10B CHF966.95B CHF
December 2026948.12B CHF920.52B CHF973.78B CHF
January 2027950.08B CHF894.16B CHF1.00T CHF
February 2027953.74B CHF911.21B CHF993.25B CHF
March 2027956.15B CHF887.86B CHF1.02T CHF
April 2027958.51B CHF888.04B CHF1.02T CHF
May 2027959.18B CHF885.05B CHF1.03T CHF
June 2027963.80B CHF884.84B CHF1.04T CHF
July 2027967.09B CHF859.30B CHF1.07T CHF
August 2027971.21B CHF821.65B CHF1.11T CHF
September 2027970.21B CHF815.26B CHF1.11T CHF

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+11%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
Direction
66%No clear edge over a coin flip (95 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
24 of 55Anticipated some turns (55 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
11% lowerError ratio 0.89; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 76% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 2026945.83B CHF
August 2026950.57B CHF
July 2026929.99B CHF
June 2026913.63B CHF
May 2026876.07B CHF
April 2026889.54B CHF
March 2026890.21B CHF
February 2026877.67B CHF
January 2026886.53B CHF
December 2025893.86B CHF
November 2025896.72B CHF
October 2025890.50B CHF
September 2025886.58B CHF
August 2025852.34B CHF
July 2025855.49B CHF
June 2025852.19B CHF
May 2025836.74B CHF
April 2025843.44B CHF
March 2025866.58B CHF
February 2025862.43B CHF
January 2025862.13B CHF
December 2024854.08B CHF
November 2024843.05B CHF
October 2024835.24B CHF

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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