Switzerland Central Bank Balance Sheet
Switzerland · Monthly series · EC-CH-CBBS
Latest, September 2026
945.83B CHF
-0.5% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 970.21B CHF, with an 80% interval of 815.26B CHF to 1.11T CHF.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 944.38B CHF | 920.21B CHF | 967.11B CHF |
| November 2026 | 944.91B CHF | 922.10B CHF | 966.95B CHF |
| December 2026 | 948.12B CHF | 920.52B CHF | 973.78B CHF |
| January 2027 | 950.08B CHF | 894.16B CHF | 1.00T CHF |
| February 2027 | 953.74B CHF | 911.21B CHF | 993.25B CHF |
| March 2027 | 956.15B CHF | 887.86B CHF | 1.02T CHF |
| April 2027 | 958.51B CHF | 888.04B CHF | 1.02T CHF |
| May 2027 | 959.18B CHF | 885.05B CHF | 1.03T CHF |
| June 2027 | 963.80B CHF | 884.84B CHF | 1.04T CHF |
| July 2027 | 967.09B CHF | 859.30B CHF | 1.07T CHF |
| August 2027 | 971.21B CHF | 821.65B CHF | 1.11T CHF |
| September 2027 | 970.21B CHF | 815.26B CHF | 1.11T CHF |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +11%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
- Direction
- 66%No clear edge over a coin flip (95 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 24 of 55Anticipated some turns (55 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 11% lowerError ratio 0.89; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 76% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 945.83B CHF |
| August 2026 | 950.57B CHF |
| July 2026 | 929.99B CHF |
| June 2026 | 913.63B CHF |
| May 2026 | 876.07B CHF |
| April 2026 | 889.54B CHF |
| March 2026 | 890.21B CHF |
| February 2026 | 877.67B CHF |
| January 2026 | 886.53B CHF |
| December 2025 | 893.86B CHF |
| November 2025 | 896.72B CHF |
| October 2025 | 890.50B CHF |
| September 2025 | 886.58B CHF |
| August 2025 | 852.34B CHF |
| July 2025 | 855.49B CHF |
| June 2025 | 852.19B CHF |
| May 2025 | 836.74B CHF |
| April 2025 | 843.44B CHF |
| March 2025 | 866.58B CHF |
| February 2025 | 862.43B CHF |
| January 2025 | 862.13B CHF |
| December 2024 | 854.08B CHF |
| November 2024 | 843.05B CHF |
| October 2024 | 835.24B CHF |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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