AgenticInvestor

Israel Interbank Rate

Israel · Monthly series · EC-IL-INBR

Latest, June 2025

4.4%

-0.06pp from May 2025

Open interactive chartIsrael Interbank Rate in the app

5.8032.9340.066July 2015June 2026
History through June 2025, the forecast path to June 2026 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for June 2026: 4.4%, with an 80% interval of 2.7% to 5.8%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
July 20254.4%4.4%4.5%
August 20254.4%4.4%4.5%
September 20254.4%4.3%4.5%
October 20254.4%4.2%4.5%
November 20254.4%4.2%4.5%
December 20254.4%4.1%4.6%
January 20264.4%3.8%4.7%
February 20264.4%3.3%5.0%
March 20264.4%3.3%5.1%
April 20264.4%3.0%5.4%
May 20264.4%2.7%5.6%
June 20264.4%2.7%5.8%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+29%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 4 won)
Direction
58%No clear edge over a coin flip (72 of 124 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
22 of 51Anticipated some turns (51 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
29% lowerError ratio 0.71; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
4 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2013-07-01 to 2025-06-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 79% of the 119 earlier readings since July 2015.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
June 20254.4%
May 20254.5%
April 20254.5%
March 20254.5%
February 20254.5%
January 20254.5%
December 20244.5%
November 20244.5%
October 20244.5%
September 20244.5%
August 20244.5%
July 20244.5%
June 20244.5%
May 20244.5%
April 20244.5%
March 20244.3%
February 20244.4%
January 20244.4%
December 20234.5%
November 20234.6%
October 20234.7%
September 20234.9%
August 20234.8%
July 20234.8%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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