Italy Residential Property Prices

Italy · Quarterly series · EC-IT-RPP

Latest, Q2 2026

4.0 pts

-22.2% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartItaly Residential Property Prices in the app

13.233.048-7.129Q3 1996Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 3.4 pts, with an 80% interval of -1.4 pts to 8.4 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 20263.7 pts0.6 pts6.8 pts
Q4 20263.7 pts0.8 pts6.6 pts
Q1 20273.1 pts-1.2 pts7.3 pts
Q2 20273.4 pts-1.4 pts8.4 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 85% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 20264.0 pts
Q1 20265.1 pts
Q4 20254.0 pts
Q3 20253.7 pts
Q2 20253.9 pts
Q1 20254.4 pts
Q4 20244.5 pts
Q3 20243.7 pts
Q2 20242.9 pts
Q1 20241.6 pts
Q4 20231.7 pts
Q3 20231.7 pts
Q2 20230.8 pts
Q1 20231.0 pts
Q4 20222.7 pts
Q3 20222.9 pts
Q2 20225.2 pts
Q1 20224.6 pts
Q4 20213.9 pts
Q3 20214.1 pts
Q2 20210.2 pts
Q1 20211.8 pts
Q4 20201.5 pts
Q3 20201.1 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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