AgenticInvestor

Kenya Exports

Kenya · Monthly series · EC-KE-EXP

Latest, July 2026

957.01M KES

+8.4% from June 2026

Open interactive chartKenya Exports in the app

1.102B752.2M402.4MAugust 2016July 2027
History through July 2026, the forecast path to July 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for July 2027: 785.71M KES, with an 80% interval of 660.16M KES to 949.19M KES.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
August 2026816.54M KES723.86M KES937.06M KES
September 2026796.39M KES696.28M KES931.32M KES
October 2026783.20M KES679.40M KES923.33M KES
November 2026764.12M KES716.91M KES830.03M KES
December 2026755.69M KES621.95M KES941.34M KES
January 2027764.52M KES682.86M KES874.61M KES
February 2027775.31M KES683.62M KES896.79M KES
March 2027783.11M KES658.21M KES948.33M KES
April 2027783.28M KES599.17M KES1.02B KES
May 2027799.13M KES566.31M KES1.10B KES
June 2027786.05M KES687.83M KES915.70M KES
July 2027785.71M KES660.16M KES949.19M KES

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+7%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
56%No clear edge over a coin flip (81 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
59 of 91Anticipated most turns (91 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
7% lowerError ratio 0.93; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-08-01 to 2026-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since August 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
July 2026957.01M KES
June 2026883.20M KES
May 2026851.00M KES
April 2026660.29M KES
March 2026639.27M KES
February 2026727.39M KES
January 2026672.96M KES
December 2025641.81M KES
November 2025620.57M KES
October 2025704.43M KES
September 2025816.65M KES
August 2025698.79M KES
July 2025741.80M KES
June 2025642.68M KES
May 2025761.18M KES
April 2025815.64M KES
March 2025611.42M KES
February 2025689.40M KES
January 2025681.82M KES
December 2024699.00M KES
November 2024667.46M KES
October 2024761.27M KES
September 2024675.39M KES
August 2024639.69M KES

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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