AgenticInvestor

Macedonia Core Consumer Prices

Macedonia · Monthly series · EC-MK-CCP

Latest, October 2026

162.6 pts

+0.1% from September 2026

Open interactive chartMacedonia Core Consumer Prices in the app

172.6140.9109.2November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 164.5 pts, with an 80% interval of 156.6 pts to 170.8 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026162.9 pts161.7 pts164.1 pts
December 2026163.2 pts161.4 pts165.1 pts
January 2027163.1 pts160.4 pts165.9 pts
February 2027162.9 pts160.0 pts165.7 pts
March 2027162.9 pts158.4 pts167.1 pts
April 2027163.2 pts158.0 pts168.0 pts
May 2027163.7 pts158.3 pts168.6 pts
June 2027164.1 pts157.4 pts170.2 pts
July 2027164.7 pts156.3 pts172.2 pts
August 2027164.8 pts155.8 pts172.6 pts
September 2027164.7 pts156.2 pts171.8 pts
October 2027164.5 pts156.6 pts170.8 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+19%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 9 won)
Direction
80%Beats a coin flip (115 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
4 of 46Anticipated some turns (46 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
19% lowerError ratio 0.81; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
9 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 98% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026162.6 pts
September 2026162.5 pts
August 2026163.3 pts
July 2026163.3 pts
June 2026162.4 pts
May 2026162.6 pts
April 2026161.7 pts
March 2026159.8 pts
February 2026159.2 pts
January 2026159.2 pts
December 2025161.1 pts
November 2025160.0 pts
October 2025159.4 pts
September 2025160.0 pts
August 2025160.1 pts
July 2025160.2 pts
June 2025158.0 pts
May 2025156.3 pts
April 2025154.4 pts
March 2025153.2 pts
February 2025154.9 pts
January 2025154.5 pts
December 2024154.5 pts
November 2024153.5 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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