AgenticInvestor

Poland Central Bank Balance Sheet

Poland · Monthly series · EC-PL-CBBS

Latest, May 2025

1.07T PLN

+0.2% from April 2025

Open interactive chartPoland Central Bank Balance Sheet in the app

1.269T825.3B381.4BJune 2015May 2026
History through May 2025, the forecast path to May 2026 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for May 2026: 1.09T PLN, with an 80% interval of 917.95B PLN to 1.27T PLN.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
June 20251.07T PLN1.06T PLN1.09T PLN
July 20251.08T PLN1.04T PLN1.11T PLN
August 20251.08T PLN1.05T PLN1.11T PLN
September 20251.08T PLN1.02T PLN1.14T PLN
October 20251.08T PLN1.01T PLN1.16T PLN
November 20251.08T PLN976.41B PLN1.19T PLN
December 20251.09T PLN973.51B PLN1.20T PLN
January 20261.09T PLN980.37B PLN1.19T PLN
February 20261.09T PLN983.53B PLN1.19T PLN
March 20261.09T PLN1.01T PLN1.17T PLN
April 20261.09T PLN953.30B PLN1.23T PLN
May 20261.09T PLN917.95B PLN1.27T PLN

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+11%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
63%No clear edge over a coin flip (91 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
14 of 62Anticipated some turns (62 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
11% lowerError ratio 0.89; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2013-06-01 to 2025-05-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 99% of the 119 earlier readings since June 2015.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
May 20251.07T PLN
April 20251.07T PLN
March 20251.08T PLN
February 20251.07T PLN
January 20251.07T PLN
December 20241.06T PLN
November 20241.04T PLN
October 20241.02T PLN
September 20241.00T PLN
August 2024986.95B PLN
July 2024978.60B PLN
June 20241.00T PLN
May 2024982.22B PLN
April 2024993.56B PLN
March 2024968.41B PLN
February 2024912.97B PLN
January 2024920.95B PLN
December 2023921.51B PLN
November 2023934.38B PLN
October 2023925.81B PLN
September 2023957.58B PLN
August 2023930.80B PLN
July 2023914.82B PLN
June 2023926.18B PLN

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Poland