Poland Cement Production
Poland · Monthly series · EC-PL-CEP
Latest, July 2024
1,752,000.0 pts
+2.3% from June 2024
Forecast
Forecast for July 2025: 1,762,688.1 pts, with an 80% interval of 1,589,531.0 pts to 1,922,395.5 pts.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 2024 | 1,672,430.0 pts | 1,586,567.1 pts | 1,738,139.0 pts |
| September 2024 | 1,695,914.4 pts | 1,644,881.4 pts | 1,738,372.0 pts |
| October 2024 | 1,688,387.5 pts | 1,601,098.1 pts | 1,764,109.7 pts |
| November 2024 | 1,450,441.8 pts | 1,326,521.3 pts | 1,556,060.1 pts |
| December 2024 | 1,100,888.2 pts | 853,297.8 pts | 1,314,499.2 pts |
| January 2025 | 702,464.2 pts | 548,584.5 pts | 864,592.1 pts |
| February 2025 | 865,609.0 pts | 552,429.8 pts | 1,184,569.0 pts |
| March 2025 | 1,392,635.5 pts | 611,021.4 pts | 1,999,938.0 pts |
| April 2025 | 1,616,025.0 pts | 1,420,064.2 pts | 1,775,780.6 pts |
| May 2025 | 1,717,763.0 pts | 1,533,604.7 pts | 1,874,466.0 pts |
| June 2025 | 1,714,822.8 pts | 1,492,327.4 pts | 1,918,944.9 pts |
| July 2025 | 1,762,688.1 pts | 1,589,531.0 pts | 1,922,395.5 pts |
AI confidence
Needs refreshThe data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 77% of the 119 earlier readings since August 2014.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| July 2024 | 1,752,000.0 pts |
| June 2024 | 1,713,000.0 pts |
| May 2024 | 1,719,000.0 pts |
| April 2024 | 1,572,000.0 pts |
| March 2024 | 133,000.0 pts |
| February 2024 | 1,190,000.0 pts |
| January 2024 | 589,000.0 pts |
| December 2023 | 937,000.0 pts |
| November 2023 | 1,371,000.0 pts |
| October 2023 | 1,679,000.0 pts |
| September 2023 | 1,654,000.0 pts |
| August 2023 | 1,609,000.0 pts |
| July 2023 | 1,716,000.0 pts |
| June 2023 | 1,582,000.0 pts |
| May 2023 | 1,514,000.0 pts |
| April 2023 | 1,465,000.0 pts |
| March 2023 | 1,388,000.0 pts |
| February 2023 | 896,000.0 pts |
| January 2023 | 796,000.0 pts |
| December 2022 | 1,034,000.0 pts |
| November 2022 | 1,433,000.0 pts |
| October 2022 | 1,808,000.0 pts |
| September 2022 | 1,763,000.0 pts |
| August 2022 | 1,666,000.0 pts |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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