Puerto Rico Leading Economic Index YoY

Puerto Rico · Monthly series · EC-PR-LEI

Latest, September 2026

0.8%

+0.70pp from August 2026

Open interactive chartPuerto Rico Leading Economic Index YoY in the app

26.12.25-21.6February 2016September 2026
History through September 2026.

Forecast

No forecast is cached this cycle.

AI confidence

No forecast yet

Evidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.

Reading

It is above 62% of the 111 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 20260.8%
August 20260.1%
July 2026-0.3%
June 2026-0.6%
May 2026-0.7%
April 2026-0.9%
February 2026-0.6%
January 20260.3%
November 20250.8%
October 20250.2%
June 2025-0.9%
May 2025-0.8%
March 2025-1.0%
February 2025-1.0%
January 2025-1.6%
November 2024-1.1%
October 2024-1.3%
September 2024-1.2%
August 2024-0.9%
July 2024-0.2%
June 2024-0.6%
April 2024-2.0%
March 2024-0.8%
February 2024-0.2%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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