Slovenia Exports
Slovenia · Monthly series · EC-SI-EXP
Latest, June 2026
8.52B EUR
-0.6% from May 2026
Forecast
Forecast for June 2027: 8.67B EUR, with an 80% interval of 7.42B EUR to 10.17B EUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | 8.37B EUR | 7.04B EUR | 9.79B EUR |
| August 2026 | 7.12B EUR | 6.25B EUR | 8.17B EUR |
| September 2026 | 8.67B EUR | 7.37B EUR | 10.15B EUR |
| October 2026 | 8.57B EUR | 7.42B EUR | 9.94B EUR |
| November 2026 | 8.53B EUR | 7.50B EUR | 9.74B EUR |
| December 2026 | 7.64B EUR | 6.49B EUR | 9.05B EUR |
| January 2027 | 7.92B EUR | 6.13B EUR | 10.08B EUR |
| February 2027 | 8.03B EUR | 6.64B EUR | 9.68B EUR |
| March 2027 | 9.02B EUR | 7.79B EUR | 10.56B EUR |
| April 2027 | 8.31B EUR | 6.20B EUR | 10.75B EUR |
| May 2027 | 8.50B EUR | 6.41B EUR | 11.07B EUR |
| June 2027 | 8.67B EUR | 7.42B EUR | 10.17B EUR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +20%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 10 won)
- Direction
- 70%No clear edge over a coin flip (101 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 64 of 89Anticipated most turns (89 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 20% lowerError ratio 0.80; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 10 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-07-01 to 2026-06-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2026-06-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 95% of the 119 earlier readings since July 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| June 2026 | 8.52B EUR |
| May 2026 | 8.57B EUR |
| April 2026 | 8.37B EUR |
| March 2026 | 9.07B EUR |
| February 2026 | 7.26B EUR |
| January 2026 | 6.20B EUR |
| December 2025 | 7.88B EUR |
| November 2025 | 7.62B EUR |
| October 2025 | 8.27B EUR |
| September 2025 | 8.58B EUR |
| August 2025 | 6.72B EUR |
| July 2025 | 8.81B EUR |
| June 2025 | 7.61B EUR |
| May 2025 | 7.32B EUR |
| April 2025 | 7.73B EUR |
| March 2025 | 9.56B EUR |
| February 2025 | 9.79B EUR |
| January 2025 | 6.82B EUR |
| December 2024 | 6.19B EUR |
| November 2024 | 6.99B EUR |
| October 2024 | 7.68B EUR |
| September 2024 | 7.26B EUR |
| August 2024 | 5.67B EUR |
| July 2024 | 6.97B EUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Slovenia
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