Slovenia Money Supply M2
Slovenia · Monthly series · EC-SI-M2
Latest, September 2026
44.41B EUR
+0.1% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 46.33B EUR, with an 80% interval of 44.11B EUR to 48.50B EUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 44.58B EUR | 44.34B EUR | 44.84B EUR |
| November 2026 | 44.74B EUR | 44.40B EUR | 45.10B EUR |
| December 2026 | 44.91B EUR | 43.94B EUR | 45.93B EUR |
| January 2027 | 45.05B EUR | 44.27B EUR | 45.84B EUR |
| February 2027 | 45.24B EUR | 44.27B EUR | 46.20B EUR |
| March 2027 | 45.39B EUR | 44.34B EUR | 46.40B EUR |
| April 2027 | 45.52B EUR | 44.14B EUR | 46.87B EUR |
| May 2027 | 45.69B EUR | 43.71B EUR | 47.61B EUR |
| June 2027 | 45.88B EUR | 43.88B EUR | 47.83B EUR |
| July 2027 | 46.02B EUR | 43.69B EUR | 48.28B EUR |
| August 2027 | 46.20B EUR | 43.87B EUR | 48.42B EUR |
| September 2027 | 46.33B EUR | 44.11B EUR | 48.50B EUR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +50%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
- Direction
- 94%Beats a coin flip (135 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 0 of 42Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (42 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 50% lowerError ratio 0.50; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 44.41B EUR |
| August 2026 | 44.35B EUR |
| July 2026 | 44.19B EUR |
| June 2026 | 43.93B EUR |
| May 2026 | 43.55B EUR |
| April 2026 | 43.15B EUR |
| March 2026 | 43.30B EUR |
| February 2026 | 43.19B EUR |
| January 2026 | 43.02B EUR |
| December 2025 | 43.28B EUR |
| November 2025 | 42.28B EUR |
| October 2025 | 42.23B EUR |
| September 2025 | 41.82B EUR |
| August 2025 | 41.76B EUR |
| July 2025 | 41.65B EUR |
| June 2025 | 41.21B EUR |
| May 2025 | 41.13B EUR |
| April 2025 | 40.17B EUR |
| March 2025 | 40.10B EUR |
| February 2025 | 40.17B EUR |
| January 2025 | 39.91B EUR |
| December 2024 | 40.03B EUR |
| November 2024 | 39.43B EUR |
| October 2024 | 39.55B EUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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