Slovenia Money Supply M3
Slovenia · Monthly series · EC-SI-M3
Latest, September 2026
44.74B EUR
+0.2% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 46.68B EUR, with an 80% interval of 44.47B EUR to 48.82B EUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 44.92B EUR | 44.65B EUR | 45.20B EUR |
| November 2026 | 45.07B EUR | 44.66B EUR | 45.53B EUR |
| December 2026 | 45.26B EUR | 44.29B EUR | 46.29B EUR |
| January 2027 | 45.40B EUR | 44.70B EUR | 46.10B EUR |
| February 2027 | 45.60B EUR | 44.62B EUR | 46.58B EUR |
| March 2027 | 45.74B EUR | 44.61B EUR | 46.83B EUR |
| April 2027 | 45.87B EUR | 44.47B EUR | 47.23B EUR |
| May 2027 | 46.02B EUR | 44.10B EUR | 47.90B EUR |
| June 2027 | 46.22B EUR | 44.07B EUR | 48.31B EUR |
| July 2027 | 46.37B EUR | 44.07B EUR | 48.57B EUR |
| August 2027 | 46.54B EUR | 44.25B EUR | 48.72B EUR |
| September 2027 | 46.68B EUR | 44.47B EUR | 48.82B EUR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +47%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
- Direction
- 94%Beats a coin flip (136 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 0 of 37Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (37 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 47% lowerError ratio 0.53; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 44.74B EUR |
| August 2026 | 44.67B EUR |
| July 2026 | 44.51B EUR |
| June 2026 | 44.24B EUR |
| May 2026 | 43.85B EUR |
| April 2026 | 43.45B EUR |
| March 2026 | 43.61B EUR |
| February 2026 | 43.47B EUR |
| January 2026 | 43.30B EUR |
| December 2025 | 43.56B EUR |
| November 2025 | 42.52B EUR |
| October 2025 | 42.45B EUR |
| September 2025 | 42.03B EUR |
| August 2025 | 42.02B EUR |
| July 2025 | 41.88B EUR |
| June 2025 | 41.55B EUR |
| May 2025 | 41.37B EUR |
| April 2025 | 40.42B EUR |
| March 2025 | 40.35B EUR |
| February 2025 | 40.35B EUR |
| January 2025 | 40.09B EUR |
| December 2024 | 40.20B EUR |
| November 2024 | 39.59B EUR |
| October 2024 | 39.71B EUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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