South Sudan Gross Fixed Capital Formation
South Sudan · Annual series · EC-SS-GFCF
Latest, 2021
2.26B SSP
+29.4% from 2020
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
That is the highest of the 10 readings since 2012.
Recent history (14 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2021 | 2.26B SSP |
| 2020 | 1.75B SSP |
| 2019 | 1.71B SSP |
| 2018 | 1.75B SSP |
| 2017 | 1.52B SSP |
| 2016 | 1.38B SSP |
| 2015 | 1.78B SSP |
| 2014 | 1.80B SSP |
| 2013 | 1.83B SSP |
| 2012 | 1.86B SSP |
| 2011 | 3.73B SSP |
| 2010 | 3.73B SSP |
| 2009 | 3.84B SSP |
| 2008 | 4.71B SSP |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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