AgenticInvestor

Dutch Power Peak Futures

Energy · Monthly series · CM-DPA1.ICEENDEX

Latest, October 2026

267.28 EUR/MWH

+23.9% from September 2026

Open interactive chartDutch Power Peak Futures in the app

514.2269.224.2November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 206.05 EUR/MWH, with an 80% interval of 85.97 EUR/MWH to 484.59 EUR/MWH.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026286.54 EUR/MWH177.05 EUR/MWH417.06 EUR/MWH
December 2026256.97 EUR/MWH161.64 EUR/MWH386.23 EUR/MWH
January 2027200.09 EUR/MWH136.53 EUR/MWH308.01 EUR/MWH
February 2027152.69 EUR/MWH75.37 EUR/MWH310.96 EUR/MWH
March 2027131.30 EUR/MWH45.53 EUR/MWH320.58 EUR/MWH
April 2027129.95 EUR/MWH45.53 EUR/MWH314.27 EUR/MWH
May 2027127.20 EUR/MWH25.19 EUR/MWH362.20 EUR/MWH
June 2027135.70 EUR/MWH43.76 EUR/MWH353.84 EUR/MWH
July 2027156.76 EUR/MWH71.46 EUR/MWH358.37 EUR/MWH
August 2027178.71 EUR/MWH86.17 EUR/MWH395.07 EUR/MWH
September 2027206.41 EUR/MWH111.51 EUR/MWH428.00 EUR/MWH
October 2027206.05 EUR/MWH85.97 EUR/MWH484.59 EUR/MWH

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+17%Beats the no-change baseline over 10 tests (10 tests, 7 won)
Direction
64%No clear edge over a coin flip (77 of 120 calls right in 10 tests)
Turning points
14 of 37Anticipated some turns (37 turns in 10 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
17% lowerError ratio 0.83; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 10Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2016-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 92% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026267.28 EUR/MWH
September 2026215.77 EUR/MWH
August 2026176.13 EUR/MWH
July 2026134.92 EUR/MWH
June 202691.04 EUR/MWH
May 202680.32 EUR/MWH
April 202660.31 EUR/MWH
March 202659.38 EUR/MWH
February 202652.37 EUR/MWH
January 202698.97 EUR/MWH
December 2025111.50 EUR/MWH
November 2025127.24 EUR/MWH
October 2025126.97 EUR/MWH
September 2025123.22 EUR/MWH
August 202596.65 EUR/MWH
July 202588.29 EUR/MWH
June 202556.00 EUR/MWH
May 202554.94 EUR/MWH
April 202548.75 EUR/MWH
March 202548.06 EUR/MWH
February 202564.97 EUR/MWH
January 2025111.74 EUR/MWH
December 2024136.31 EUR/MWH
November 2024142.66 EUR/MWH

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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