AgenticInvestor

French Power Financial Peak Futures

Energy · Monthly series · CM-FNA1.ICEENDEX

Latest, October 2026

258.36 EUR/MWH

+55.3% from September 2026

Open interactive chartFrench Power Financial Peak Futures in the app

1026481.1-64.34November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 145.83 EUR/MWH, with an 80% interval of -43.53 EUR/MWH to 1,026.50 EUR/MWH.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026284.33 EUR/MWH160.04 EUR/MWH457.06 EUR/MWH
December 2026246.77 EUR/MWH124.97 EUR/MWH467.59 EUR/MWH
January 2027191.71 EUR/MWH-64.34 EUR/MWH816.69 EUR/MWH
February 2027120.53 EUR/MWH-12.21 EUR/MWH564.57 EUR/MWH
March 202786.73 EUR/MWH-38.88 EUR/MWH519.90 EUR/MWH
April 202775.74 EUR/MWH-55.22 EUR/MWH526.80 EUR/MWH
May 202774.94 EUR/MWH-60.54 EUR/MWH554.87 EUR/MWH
June 202785.61 EUR/MWH-14.62 EUR/MWH476.79 EUR/MWH
July 202786.39 EUR/MWH-33.44 EUR/MWH575.97 EUR/MWH
August 2027103.77 EUR/MWH-3.01 EUR/MWH571.75 EUR/MWH
September 2027122.88 EUR/MWH-39.11 EUR/MWH899.45 EUR/MWH
October 2027145.83 EUR/MWH-43.53 EUR/MWH1,026.50 EUR/MWH

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+15%Beats the no-change baseline over 7 tests (7 tests, 5 won)
Direction
58%No clear edge over a coin flip (49 of 84 calls right in 7 tests)
Turning points
8 of 27Anticipated some turns (27 turns in 7 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
15% lowerError ratio 0.85; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 7Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2019-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 90% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026258.36 EUR/MWH
September 2026166.40 EUR/MWH
August 2026117.02 EUR/MWH
July 202679.42 EUR/MWH
June 202667.97 EUR/MWH
May 202623.52 EUR/MWH
April 20269.00 EUR/MWH
March 202629.42 EUR/MWH
February 202642.27 EUR/MWH
January 2026106.90 EUR/MWH
December 202592.50 EUR/MWH
November 202571.71 EUR/MWH
October 202577.94 EUR/MWH
September 202565.19 EUR/MWH
August 202549.11 EUR/MWH
July 202540.70 EUR/MWH
June 202538.89 EUR/MWH
May 202523.37 EUR/MWH
April 202519.25 EUR/MWH
March 202545.00 EUR/MWH
February 202581.96 EUR/MWH
January 2025140.50 EUR/MWH
December 2024127.83 EUR/MWH
November 2024113.83 EUR/MWH

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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