AgenticInvestor

Italian Power Financial Peak Futures

Energy · Monthly series · CM-IPP1.ICEENDEX

Latest, October 2026

294.73 EUR/MWH

+42.9% from September 2026

Open interactive chartItalian Power Financial Peak Futures in the app

695.4346.3-2.739November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 197.69 EUR/MWH, with an 80% interval of 39.89 EUR/MWH to 649.76 EUR/MWH.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026282.75 EUR/MWH201.69 EUR/MWH397.96 EUR/MWH
December 2026264.28 EUR/MWH174.77 EUR/MWH419.01 EUR/MWH
January 2027239.10 EUR/MWH47.55 EUR/MWH633.71 EUR/MWH
February 2027202.05 EUR/MWH101.93 EUR/MWH455.79 EUR/MWH
March 2027182.12 EUR/MWH38.41 EUR/MWH566.49 EUR/MWH
April 2027174.74 EUR/MWH70.00 EUR/MWH464.55 EUR/MWH
May 2027177.11 EUR/MWH27.23 EUR/MWH592.33 EUR/MWH
June 2027184.94 EUR/MWH70.87 EUR/MWH503.16 EUR/MWH
July 2027180.83 EUR/MWH-2.74 EUR/MWH695.44 EUR/MWH
August 2027188.50 EUR/MWH56.34 EUR/MWH562.23 EUR/MWH
September 2027193.29 EUR/MWH72.93 EUR/MWH544.29 EUR/MWH
October 2027197.69 EUR/MWH39.89 EUR/MWH649.76 EUR/MWH

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+6%Matches the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 5 won)
Direction
60%No clear edge over a coin flip (58 of 96 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
14 of 41Anticipated some turns (41 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
6% lowerError ratio 0.94; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 93% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026294.73 EUR/MWH
September 2026206.30 EUR/MWH
August 2026181.51 EUR/MWH
July 2026160.28 EUR/MWH
June 2026134.28 EUR/MWH
May 2026131.63 EUR/MWH
April 2026109.86 EUR/MWH
March 2026128.68 EUR/MWH
February 2026102.62 EUR/MWH
January 2026150.13 EUR/MWH
December 2025129.30 EUR/MWH
November 2025127.02 EUR/MWH
October 2025124.00 EUR/MWH
September 2025111.87 EUR/MWH
August 2025113.92 EUR/MWH
July 2025108.37 EUR/MWH
June 2025119.54 EUR/MWH
May 2025103.75 EUR/MWH
April 202587.70 EUR/MWH
March 2025108.42 EUR/MWH
February 2025131.28 EUR/MWH
January 2025169.78 EUR/MWH
December 2024152.60 EUR/MWH
November 2024140.00 EUR/MWH

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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