Dutch TTF Natural Gas Futures

Energy · Monthly series · CM-TFM1.ICEENDEX

Latest, October 2026

103.94 EUR/MWH

+43.7% from September 2026

Open interactive chartDutch TTF Natural Gas Futures in the app

344161.5-21.04November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 67.55 EUR/MWH, with an 80% interval of 5.66 EUR/MWH to 270.21 EUR/MWH.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026104.47 EUR/MWH61.99 EUR/MWH158.14 EUR/MWH
December 202698.70 EUR/MWH42.06 EUR/MWH185.49 EUR/MWH
January 202793.69 EUR/MWH-8.36 EUR/MWH273.78 EUR/MWH
February 202787.08 EUR/MWH32.43 EUR/MWH198.89 EUR/MWH
March 202783.32 EUR/MWH-1.30 EUR/MWH270.68 EUR/MWH
April 202778.48 EUR/MWH-20.54 EUR/MWH323.54 EUR/MWH
May 202774.13 EUR/MWH-18.68 EUR/MWH321.45 EUR/MWH
June 202772.06 EUR/MWH4.20 EUR/MWH262.21 EUR/MWH
July 202770.76 EUR/MWH-21.04 EUR/MWH344.02 EUR/MWH
August 202769.24 EUR/MWH-7.34 EUR/MWH306.98 EUR/MWH
September 202768.34 EUR/MWH-3.64 EUR/MWH302.03 EUR/MWH
October 202767.55 EUR/MWH5.66 EUR/MWH270.21 EUR/MWH

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+3%Matches the no-change baseline over 10 tests (10 tests, 5 won)
Direction
57%No clear edge over a coin flip (68 of 120 calls right in 10 tests)
Turning points
8 of 47Anticipated some turns (47 turns in 10 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
3% lowerError ratio 0.97; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 10Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2016-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 94% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026103.94 EUR/MWH
September 202672.36 EUR/MWH
August 202669.81 EUR/MWH
July 202659.07 EUR/MWH
June 202643.44 EUR/MWH
May 202646.00 EUR/MWH
April 202645.99 EUR/MWH
March 202650.76 EUR/MWH
February 202631.96 EUR/MWH
January 202639.28 EUR/MWH
December 202528.16 EUR/MWH
November 202528.82 EUR/MWH
October 202531.12 EUR/MWH
September 202531.41 EUR/MWH
August 202531.62 EUR/MWH
July 202535.28 EUR/MWH
June 202532.90 EUR/MWH
May 202534.23 EUR/MWH
April 202532.32 EUR/MWH
March 202540.67 EUR/MWH
February 202544.32 EUR/MWH
January 202553.24 EUR/MWH
December 202448.89 EUR/MWH
November 202447.81 EUR/MWH

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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