AgenticInvestor

UK Peak Electricity Future (Gregorian)

Energy · Monthly series · CM-UPL1.ICEEUR

Latest, October 2026

221.43 GBP (exchange quote)

+25.1% from September 2026

Open interactive chartUK Peak Electricity Future (Gregorian) in the app

885455.726.47November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 139.27 GBP (exchange quote), with an 80% interval of 84.38 GBP (exchange quote) to 315.89 GBP (exchange quote).

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026236.34 GBP (exchange quote)172.79 GBP (exchange quote)341.18 GBP (exchange quote)
December 2026190.79 GBP (exchange quote)122.08 GBP (exchange quote)344.03 GBP (exchange quote)
January 2027150.59 GBP (exchange quote)76.51 GBP (exchange quote)346.83 GBP (exchange quote)
February 2027127.98 GBP (exchange quote)80.82 GBP (exchange quote)245.23 GBP (exchange quote)
March 2027117.89 GBP (exchange quote)52.77 GBP (exchange quote)275.02 GBP (exchange quote)
April 2027113.21 GBP (exchange quote)48.17 GBP (exchange quote)265.16 GBP (exchange quote)
May 2027113.08 GBP (exchange quote)42.04 GBP (exchange quote)281.38 GBP (exchange quote)
June 2027112.25 GBP (exchange quote)55.89 GBP (exchange quote)248.62 GBP (exchange quote)
July 2027119.89 GBP (exchange quote)54.16 GBP (exchange quote)293.02 GBP (exchange quote)
August 2027126.92 GBP (exchange quote)61.02 GBP (exchange quote)312.36 GBP (exchange quote)
September 2027143.12 GBP (exchange quote)83.34 GBP (exchange quote)346.84 GBP (exchange quote)
October 2027139.27 GBP (exchange quote)84.38 GBP (exchange quote)315.89 GBP (exchange quote)

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+17%Beats the no-change baseline over 10 tests (10 tests, 6 won)
Direction
72%No clear edge over a coin flip (87 of 120 calls right in 10 tests)
Turning points
18 of 48Anticipated some turns (48 turns in 10 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
17% lowerError ratio 0.83; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 10Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2016-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 89% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026221.43 GBP (exchange quote)
September 2026177.00 GBP (exchange quote)
August 2026147.31 GBP (exchange quote)
July 2026128.53 GBP (exchange quote)
June 202694.77 GBP (exchange quote)
May 202697.45 GBP (exchange quote)
April 202692.75 GBP (exchange quote)
March 202699.13 GBP (exchange quote)
February 202671.97 GBP (exchange quote)
January 202699.51 GBP (exchange quote)
December 202595.59 GBP (exchange quote)
November 2025102.87 GBP (exchange quote)
October 2025100.12 GBP (exchange quote)
September 202599.41 GBP (exchange quote)
August 202584.43 GBP (exchange quote)
July 202587.31 GBP (exchange quote)
June 202571.20 GBP (exchange quote)
May 202575.85 GBP (exchange quote)
April 202572.25 GBP (exchange quote)
March 202582.50 GBP (exchange quote)
February 202593.10 GBP (exchange quote)
January 2025115.20 GBP (exchange quote)
December 2024120.40 GBP (exchange quote)
November 2024119.45 GBP (exchange quote)

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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