AgenticInvestor

Kapas Futures

Agriculture · Monthly series · CM-KAPAS1.NCDEX

Latest, October 2026

1,870.00 INR/20KGM

+0.3% from September 2026

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21821564946.5June 2018October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 1,866.45 INR/20KGM, with an 80% interval of 1,606.47 INR/20KGM to 2,152.88 INR/20KGM.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20261,869.93 INR/20KGM1,791.74 INR/20KGM1,946.17 INR/20KGM
December 20261,871.78 INR/20KGM1,737.05 INR/20KGM2,007.41 INR/20KGM
January 20271,873.37 INR/20KGM1,627.25 INR/20KGM2,116.87 INR/20KGM
February 20271,873.47 INR/20KGM1,747.01 INR/20KGM2,002.75 INR/20KGM
March 20271,874.34 INR/20KGM1,690.66 INR/20KGM2,062.01 INR/20KGM
April 20271,874.33 INR/20KGM1,835.41 INR/20KGM1,915.15 INR/20KGM
May 20271,873.24 INR/20KGM1,829.29 INR/20KGM1,919.62 INR/20KGM
June 20271,871.82 INR/20KGM1,797.00 INR/20KGM1,951.67 INR/20KGM
July 20271,869.75 INR/20KGM1,772.63 INR/20KGM1,974.01 INR/20KGM
August 20271,869.67 INR/20KGM1,819.13 INR/20KGM1,924.42 INR/20KGM
September 20271,867.55 INR/20KGM1,695.78 INR/20KGM2,056.37 INR/20KGM
October 20271,866.45 INR/20KGM1,606.47 INR/20KGM2,152.88 INR/20KGM

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 3 won)
Direction
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (32 of 60 calls right in 5 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (32 turns in 5 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
3% higherError ratio 1.03; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
3 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2021-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
85%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 96% of the 100 earlier readings since June 2018.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20261,870.00 INR/20KGM
September 20261,864.50 INR/20KGM
August 20261,748.00 INR/20KGM
July 20261,736.00 INR/20KGM
June 20261,741.50 INR/20KGM
May 20261,705.00 INR/20KGM
April 20261,720.00 INR/20KGM
March 20261,595.50 INR/20KGM
February 20261,539.00 INR/20KGM
January 20261,585.00 INR/20KGM
December 20251,563.00 INR/20KGM
November 20251,538.00 INR/20KGM
October 20251,556.00 INR/20KGM
September 20251,572.00 INR/20KGM
August 20251,564.50 INR/20KGM
July 20251,604.00 INR/20KGM
June 20251,596.50 INR/20KGM
May 20251,600.00 INR/20KGM
April 20251,580.00 INR/20KGM
March 20251,455.50 INR/20KGM
February 20251,453.50 INR/20KGM
January 20251,469.00 INR/20KGM
December 20241,498.00 INR/20KGM
November 20241,537.00 INR/20KGM

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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