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Chukyo Gasoline Futures

Energy · Monthly series · CM-CGAS1.TOCOM

Latest, October 2026

99,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)

+0.0% from September 2026

Open interactive chartChukyo Gasoline Futures in the app

142.8K88.41K34KNovember 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 99,500.00 JPY (exchange quote), with an 80% interval of 59,637.03 JPY (exchange quote) to 139,362.97 JPY (exchange quote).

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 202699,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)86,111.01 JPY (exchange quote)112,888.99 JPY (exchange quote)
December 202699,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)74,696.88 JPY (exchange quote)124,303.12 JPY (exchange quote)
January 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)71,482.88 JPY (exchange quote)127,517.12 JPY (exchange quote)
February 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)67,495.26 JPY (exchange quote)131,504.74 JPY (exchange quote)
March 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)64,282.84 JPY (exchange quote)134,717.16 JPY (exchange quote)
April 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)65,354.21 JPY (exchange quote)133,645.79 JPY (exchange quote)
May 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)63,436.18 JPY (exchange quote)135,563.82 JPY (exchange quote)
June 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)62,501.73 JPY (exchange quote)136,498.27 JPY (exchange quote)
July 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)57,437.45 JPY (exchange quote)141,562.55 JPY (exchange quote)
August 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)56,174.70 JPY (exchange quote)142,825.30 JPY (exchange quote)
September 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)58,068.31 JPY (exchange quote)140,931.69 JPY (exchange quote)
October 202799,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)59,637.03 JPY (exchange quote)139,362.97 JPY (exchange quote)

Model: Exponential smoothing (statistical). Forecast generated 2026-11-13.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Exponential smoothing (statistical)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

5 of 5 models evaluatedModels are selected on older tests and evaluated on separate recent tests. All four classes completed their backtests.

Models tested

Exponential smoothing scored lowest on the 6 older tests (1.00) and was chosen. The 6 recent tests played no part in the choice and give its grade (1.00). The search for a model that beats the naive forecast on both sets of tests goes on. Scores are MASE: a model's errors divided by the naive forecast's, so 1 is a tie.

4 model classes completed the tests: Statistical, Foundation model, Machine learning, Neural network.

Every model tested on this series.
ModelClass and computeOlder testsRecent testsRole
Naive forecast (last value held)Benchmark · CPU1.001.00Benchmark
AutoETS (statistical)Statistical · CPU1.001.00Serving
Timestral (foundation model)Foundation model · CPU1.011.00Tested
ci-proto (foundation model)Foundation model · CPU1.051.06Tested
CatBoost (machine learning)Machine learning · CPU1.181.01Tested
N-HiTS (neural network)Neural network · CPU1.331.69Tested

Uses ci-proto, released by Continuous Intelligence. Continuous Intelligence does not endorse or approve this product or service. (ci-proto is shown as State-space model, 167M.)

Reading

It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 202699,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)
September 202699,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)
August 202699,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)
July 202697,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
June 202695,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
May 202695,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
April 2026100,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
March 2026130,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
February 202687,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
January 202685,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
December 202570,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
November 202570,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
October 202577,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
September 202581,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
August 202581,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
July 202576,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
June 202580,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
May 202578,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
April 202587,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
March 202588,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
February 202588,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
January 202586,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
December 202486,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
November 202484,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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