Ferrosilicon Futures

Industrial metals · Monthly series · CM-SF1.ZCE

Latest, October 2026

5,870.00 CNY/TNE

-1.5% from September 2026

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16.42K10.18K3943November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 5,854.11 CNY/TNE, with an 80% interval of 4,544.15 CNY/TNE to 7,556.01 CNY/TNE.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20265,902.11 CNY/TNE5,412.29 CNY/TNE6,538.92 CNY/TNE
December 20265,929.90 CNY/TNE5,112.82 CNY/TNE6,953.32 CNY/TNE
January 20275,950.25 CNY/TNE4,926.63 CNY/TNE7,184.84 CNY/TNE
February 20275,959.03 CNY/TNE5,351.78 CNY/TNE6,682.94 CNY/TNE
March 20275,953.50 CNY/TNE4,987.71 CNY/TNE7,102.67 CNY/TNE
April 20275,943.15 CNY/TNE5,252.09 CNY/TNE6,775.92 CNY/TNE
May 20275,917.27 CNY/TNE3,943.24 CNY/TNE8,324.67 CNY/TNE
June 20275,907.34 CNY/TNE4,637.28 CNY/TNE7,456.14 CNY/TNE
July 20275,885.25 CNY/TNE4,374.56 CNY/TNE7,732.46 CNY/TNE
August 20275,875.02 CNY/TNE4,386.51 CNY/TNE7,787.60 CNY/TNE
September 20275,870.73 CNY/TNE4,687.02 CNY/TNE7,385.71 CNY/TNE
October 20275,854.11 CNY/TNE4,544.15 CNY/TNE7,556.01 CNY/TNE

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+18%Beats the no-change baseline over 9 tests (9 tests, 4 won)
Direction
45%No clear edge over a coin flip (49 of 108 calls right in 9 tests)
Turning points
12 of 46Anticipated some turns (46 turns in 9 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
18% lowerError ratio 0.82; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
4 / 9Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2017-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 31% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20265,870.00 CNY/TNE
September 20265,958.00 CNY/TNE
August 20266,332.00 CNY/TNE
July 20265,918.00 CNY/TNE
June 20265,884.00 CNY/TNE
May 20265,790.00 CNY/TNE
April 20265,708.00 CNY/TNE
March 20265,926.00 CNY/TNE
February 20265,606.00 CNY/TNE
January 20265,432.00 CNY/TNE
December 20255,506.00 CNY/TNE
November 20255,368.00 CNY/TNE
October 20255,500.00 CNY/TNE
September 20255,356.00 CNY/TNE
August 20255,364.00 CNY/TNE
July 20255,722.00 CNY/TNE
June 20255,514.00 CNY/TNE
May 20255,174.00 CNY/TNE
April 20255,556.00 CNY/TNE
March 20255,928.00 CNY/TNE
February 20256,160.00 CNY/TNE
January 20256,540.00 CNY/TNE
December 20246,296.00 CNY/TNE
November 20246,314.00 CNY/TNE

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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