Vietnam 10Y Government Bond Yield

Money & Rates · Monthly series · VN10Y

Latest, November 2026

4.6%

-0.00pp from September 2026

Open interactive chart10Y Government Bond Yield in the terminal

Forecast

Forecast for November 2027: 4.8%, with an 80% interval of 3.0% to 6.9%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
December 20264.6%4.4%4.8%
January 20274.6%4.4%4.8%
February 20274.6%4.3%5.0%
March 20274.6%4.4%5.0%
April 20274.6%4.2%5.3%
May 20274.7%4.1%5.3%
June 20274.7%4.1%5.4%
July 20274.7%3.9%5.6%
August 20274.7%3.9%5.7%
September 20274.7%3.7%6.0%
October 20274.7%3.6%6.2%
November 20274.8%3.0%6.9%

Model: TiRex + Toto ensemble (foundation models). Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

Complete backtests for this serving model and forecast horizon are not available.

Model: TiRex + Toto ensemble (foundation models)

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Commentary

10Y yield to rise to 4.76% by Nov 2027 from 4.58% now (+0.18 pp), modest upward drift.

Trajectory: forecast 4.59%–4.76% (Dec 2026–Nov 2027) versus recent 4.52%–4.58% (May–Nov 2026), reflecting heavy 10Y issuance.

Inflation: CPI +4.57% YTD Oct 2026 keeps policy cautious, limiting downward yield moves.

Liquidity and flows: SBV net OMO withdrawal VND 74,422bn and FDI +55.4% YTD cushion market, capping sharp yield spikes.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
November 20264.6%
September 20264.6%
August 20264.6%
August 20264.6%
June 20264.5%
May 20264.5%
April 20264.5%
March 20264.4%
March 20264.4%
February 20264.3%
December 20254.2%
November 20254.2%
November 20254.0%
September 20254.0%
August 20253.8%
July 20253.7%
June 20253.4%
June 20253.3%
April 20253.2%
March 20253.2%
March 20253.1%
February 20253.2%
December 20243.1%
December 20243.1%

Source

Data: TVC feed via TradingView.

More from Agentic Investor

Also in Money & Rates