Vietnam USD/VND
Money & Rates · Monthly series · USDVND
Latest, November 2026
25,750 VND
-0.2% from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for November 2027: 26,091 VND, with an 80% interval of 25,898 VND to 28,215 VND.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 25,778 VND | 25,614 VND | 26,114 VND |
| January 2027 | 25,807 VND | 25,602 VND | 26,387 VND |
| February 2027 | 25,835 VND | 25,653 VND | 26,654 VND |
| March 2027 | 25,863 VND | 25,645 VND | 26,837 VND |
| April 2027 | 25,892 VND | 25,713 VND | 27,068 VND |
| May 2027 | 25,920 VND | 25,734 VND | 27,274 VND |
| June 2027 | 25,948 VND | 25,741 VND | 27,429 VND |
| July 2027 | 25,977 VND | 25,793 VND | 27,524 VND |
| August 2027 | 26,005 VND | 25,821 VND | 27,791 VND |
| September 2027 | 26,034 VND | 25,883 VND | 27,960 VND |
| October 2027 | 26,062 VND | 25,895 VND | 28,092 VND |
| November 2027 | 26,091 VND | 25,898 VND | 28,215 VND |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceOverlapping test periods provide limited independent evidence.
Model: Robust drift (statistical)
- Error vs baseline
- 4% lowerError ratio 0.96; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2024-12-31 to 2026-11-0112 observations ahead per test.
- Band coverage is not measured for this model.
- Evaluated 2026-11-03 against the cached history through 2026-11-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Commentary
USD/VND expected to reverse to 26,091.07 VND/USD by 2027-11, a +341.07 (+1.3%) weakening from 25,750 (2026-11).
From 25,750 to 26,091.07 (+341.07), import surge (imports +35.3% 8M2026) adds depreciation pressure.
From 25,778.25 (2026-12) to 25,948.41 (2027-06), gradual drift aligns with SBV signaling more tolerance for FX weakness.
From 25,806.53 (2027-01) to 26,091.07 (2027-11), outlook hinges on USD/Fed path; softer DXY and sustained FDI limit VND downside.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| November 2026 | 25,750 VND |
| September 2026 | 25,802 VND |
| August 2026 | 25,959 VND |
| August 2026 | 26,070 VND |
| June 2026 | 26,291 VND |
| May 2026 | 26,245 VND |
| April 2026 | 26,255 VND |
| March 2026 | 26,355 VND |
| March 2026 | 26,323 VND |
| February 2026 | 26,040 VND |
| December 2025 | 25,880 VND |
| November 2025 | 26,295 VND |
| November 2025 | 26,330 VND |
| September 2025 | 26,107 VND |
| August 2025 | 26,425 VND |
| July 2025 | 26,340 VND |
| June 2025 | 26,197 VND |
| June 2025 | 26,118 VND |
| April 2025 | 26,030 VND |
| March 2025 | 25,980 VND |
| March 2025 | 25,565 VND |
| February 2025 | 25,530 VND |
| December 2024 | 25,060 VND |
| December 2024 | 25,480 VND |
Source
Data: FX_IDC feed via TradingView.
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