Vietnam Foreign Exchange Reserves

Money & Rates · Monthly series · VNFER

Latest, August 2026

82.65B USD

-0.2% from July 2026

Open interactive chartForeign Exchange Reserves in the terminal

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 82.63B USD, with an 80% interval of 70.28B USD to 95.39B USD.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 202682.31B USD81.00B USD83.61B USD
October 202682.26B USD80.48B USD83.96B USD
November 202682.13B USD80.58B USD83.64B USD
December 202682.23B USD78.06B USD86.44B USD
January 202782.31B USD77.06B USD87.56B USD
February 202782.34B USD76.67B USD88.17B USD
March 202782.50B USD76.51B USD88.57B USD
April 202782.50B USD74.02B USD91.29B USD
May 202782.53B USD73.12B USD92.26B USD
June 202782.58B USD70.26B USD95.30B USD
July 202782.55B USD71.38B USD94.00B USD
August 202782.63B USD70.28B USD95.39B USD

Model: TiRex + Toto ensemble (foundation models). Forecast generated 2026-11-05.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: TiRex + Toto ensemble (foundation models)

Error vs baseline
5% lowerError ratio 0.95; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Commentary

Reserves to stabilize near $82.13bn by Nov 2026, down from $86.32bn in June.

Forecast Nov $82.13bn versus June $86.32bn, SBV used FX swaps and planned up to $2.0bn liquidity operations.

Aug $82.65bn versus June $86.32bn shows a slight downtrend, while the PM ordered SBV to monitor the exchange rate flexibly.

Strong FDI-driven electronics exports (+26.07% H1 2026) support reserves and cushion further declines.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-05.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 202682.65B USD
July 202682.81B USD
June 202686.32B USD
May 202683.09B USD
April 202682.55B USD
March 202683.42B USD
February 202684.42B USD
January 202682.57B USD
December 202583.62B USD
November 202581.40B USD
October 202580.26B USD
September 202582.21B USD
August 202580.81B USD
July 202580.28B USD
June 202581.10B USD
May 202579.75B USD
April 202580.10B USD
March 202580.65B USD
February 202579.47B USD
January 202578.99B USD
December 202481.21B USD
November 202482.04B USD
October 202482.47B USD
September 202482.34B USD

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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