Switzerland Foreign Direct Investment

Name: Switzerland Foreign Direct Investment
Creator: Agentic Investor

Switzerland · Annual series · EC-CH-FDI

Latest, 2024

925.71B CHF

-1.1% from 2023

Open interactive chartSwitzerland Foreign Direct Investment in the app

History through 2024, the forecast path to 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2027: 873.20B CHF, with an 80% interval of 587.55B CHF to 1.22T CHF.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
Period	Forecast	80% low	80% high
2025	909.72B CHF	851.24B CHF	976.67B CHF
2026	890.22B CHF	690.59B CHF	1.12T CHF
2027	873.20B CHF	587.55B CHF	1.22T CHF

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive: +36%Beats the no-change baseline over 6 tests (6 tests, 5 won)
Direction: 89%No clear edge over a coin flip (16 of 18 calls right in 6 tests)
Turning points: n/aToo few tests (2 turns, 8 needed) (2 turns in 6 tests, 4 without a turn)

Error vs baseline: 36% lowerError ratio 0.64; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won: 5 / 6Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period: 2007-12-01 to 2024-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage: 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2024-12-01.
This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the lowest of the 10 readings since 2015.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
Period	Value
2024	925.71B CHF
2023	936.27B CHF
2022	1.03T CHF
2021	1.09T CHF
2020	1.24T CHF
2019	1.34T CHF
2018	1.34T CHF
2017	1.35T CHF
2016	1.26T CHF
2015	937.11B CHF
2014	780.90B CHF
2013	696.45B CHF
2012	680.00B CHF
2011	642.52B CHF
2010	573.96B CHF
2009	514.83B CHF
2008	476.01B CHF
2007	397.67B CHF
2006	328.17B CHF
2005	223.64B CHF
2004	223.69B CHF
2003	200.67B CHF
2002	173.08B CHF
2001	148.89B CHF

Source

Data: public market data feeds.