Switzerland Foreign Exchange Reserves
Switzerland · Monthly series · EC-CH-FER
Latest, October 2026
758.50B CHF
-1.5% from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 766.55B CHF, with an 80% interval of 579.44B CHF to 917.21B CHF.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 758.78B CHF | 742.24B CHF | 774.33B CHF |
| December 2026 | 759.98B CHF | 729.96B CHF | 787.45B CHF |
| January 2027 | 761.06B CHF | 715.09B CHF | 800.46B CHF |
| February 2027 | 762.06B CHF | 698.80B CHF | 816.70B CHF |
| March 2027 | 763.12B CHF | 671.29B CHF | 840.27B CHF |
| April 2027 | 764.45B CHF | 706.73B CHF | 811.56B CHF |
| May 2027 | 764.73B CHF | 666.21B CHF | 846.72B CHF |
| June 2027 | 764.25B CHF | 652.85B CHF | 855.55B CHF |
| July 2027 | 764.91B CHF | 624.27B CHF | 880.03B CHF |
| August 2027 | 765.35B CHF | 593.84B CHF | 905.04B CHF |
| September 2027 | 766.06B CHF | 594.24B CHF | 906.47B CHF |
| October 2027 | 766.55B CHF | 579.44B CHF | 917.21B CHF |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- -8%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
- Direction
- 61%No clear edge over a coin flip (88 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 8 of 60Anticipated some turns (60 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 8% higherError ratio 1.08; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-10-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 57% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 758.50B CHF |
| September 2026 | 770.29B CHF |
| August 2026 | 770.07B CHF |
| July 2026 | 768.14B CHF |
| June 2026 | 758.85B CHF |
| May 2026 | 710.90B CHF |
| April 2026 | 715.81B CHF |
| March 2026 | 721.00B CHF |
| February 2026 | 710.11B CHF |
| January 2026 | 712.04B CHF |
| December 2025 | 725.36B CHF |
| November 2025 | 727.40B CHF |
| October 2025 | 724.91B CHF |
| September 2025 | 726.84B CHF |
| August 2025 | 715.16B CHF |
| July 2025 | 716.48B CHF |
| June 2025 | 713.10B CHF |
| May 2025 | 703.60B CHF |
| April 2025 | 702.95B CHF |
| March 2025 | 725.55B CHF |
| February 2025 | 735.44B CHF |
| January 2025 | 736.44B CHF |
| December 2024 | 730.87B CHF |
| November 2024 | 724.69B CHF |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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